Global warming is affecting the intensity of Atlantic hurricanes, according to a new study by a university professor in Florida who says his research provides the first direct link between climate change and storm strength.
James Elsner of Florida State University said he set out to perform a statistical analysis of the two theories in a raging debate within the scientific community: Whether recent intense hurricanes are the result of climate change or natural ocean warming and cooling cycles.
"Is the atmosphere forcing the ocean or the ocean forcing the atmosphere?" Elsner asked.
The issue has a wide-ranging impact on insurance companies, municipal planners, some 50 million residents of hurricane-prone US coastal communities and millions of others in Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean islands.
...
Atlantic hurricanes draw their energy from the warm waters of the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea.
He found that average air temperatures during hurricane season between June and November were useful in predicting sea surface temperatures, but not the other way around.
"It appears that atmospheric warming comes before sea warming," he said, indicating that hurricane damage will be likely to continue increasing because of greenhouse warming.
...
But a growing body of research indicates human-induced global warming -- driven by heat-trapping gases in air pollution from cars and factories -- could be heating sea water, which in turn fuels stronger hurricanes.
A new draft report from the United States' top intelligence analyst forecasts future security threats to the U.S. and other nations from climate change, as well as declining influence of the U.S. on world affairs. The report is intended to brief the new U.S. president early next year on the security outlook for the next 15 years, and parts of the assessment may sound familiar to environmentalists and other climate watchers since the U.S. intelligence community is apparently up on its climate science. The report predicts that climate change will cause drought and food shortages and exacerbate freshwater supplies around the globe; it will also likely cause dustbowl conditions in the U.S. Southwest making the area hostile to agriculture. For developing countries, climate change "could be the straw that breaks the camel's back," leading to political and humanitarian crises and spurring mass migrations, said report author Thomas Fingar. The new report's climate conclusions are in line with three other climate-change security assessments also released this year from the U.S., Britain, and the European Union.
Quote by Raine:
MAn... listening to part of Sarah's interview and ... well... just wow.
She doesn't know the bush doctrine?
Quote by wickedpam:
did anyone see the Service Forum on msnbc last night. caught parts of it at the end it sounded like it was interesting.
Quote by wickedpam:
did anyone see the Service Forum on msnbc last night. caught parts of it at the end it sounded like it was interesting.
Quote by wickedpam:
just heard a clip of that as well, she sounded like she was grasping around for a "right" answer
Quote by velveeta jones:Quote by wickedpam:
did anyone see the Service Forum on msnbc last night. caught parts of it at the end it sounded like it was interesting.
Morning all!
I watched most of it. Missed part of McCain, so I didn't miss much. :p
BUT: Did anyone see Rachael last night? Did you see her interview with Chris Matthews?
OH MY GAWD!!! I was only half listening, then I sat up straight, then I fainted!
:thud:
Quote by Raine:anyone who doesn't, in the year 2008, know what the Bush Doctrine is, has no right to be a heartbeat away from the presidency.Quote by wickedpam:
just heard a clip of that as well, she sounded like she was grasping around for a "right" answer
I think that when we watch the VP debate, part of the drinking game will be take a shot for everytime Joe Biden gives a *WTF are you talking about look*.
Quote by Raine:Quote by velveeta jones:Quote by wickedpam:
did anyone see the Service Forum on msnbc last night. caught parts of it at the end it sounded like it was interesting.
Morning all!
I watched most of it. Missed part of McCain, so I didn't miss much. :p
BUT: Did anyone see Rachael last night? Did you see her interview with Chris Matthews?
OH MY GAWD!!! I was only half listening, then I sat up straight, then I fainted!
:thud:
I didn't.Details? ...
Or shall I scour the interwebs for a video?
Quote by HoneyBearKelly:
Good morning my lovelies!!!
Sarah Palin has a blog.
It might be parody but I'm not sure.
Quote by Raine:Quote by velveeta jones:Quote by wickedpam:
did anyone see the Service Forum on msnbc last night. caught parts of it at the end it sounded like it was interesting.
Morning all!
I watched most of it. Missed part of McCain, so I didn't miss much. :p
BUT: Did anyone see Rachael last night? Did you see her interview with Chris Matthews?
OH MY GAWD!!! I was only half listening, then I sat up straight, then I fainted!
:thud:
I didn't.Details? ...
Or shall I scour the interwebs for a video?
Quote by Raine:
Holy CRAP! Katty Kay Rocks. *Clearly She doesn't understand What the Bush Doctrine is*
In what Context, Charlie? The visuals are just stunning, Gibson looked a little stunned that shew did not know what he was tlaking about... and she... well she really looked like she stayed up all night cramming for a verbal test, and I don't think it went so good for her.
Quote by Raine:
he OTHER McCain interview yesterday.
Sarah Palin is THE most popular governor in America? (I think Ahnold may disagree)
And his pork answer? She isn't wasteful because she disclosed her per diem charges, and he told the lie againabout the plane.
THIS interview is worth watching.
Quote by Raine:
She linked Iraq to 9/11.
Quote by HoneyBearKelly:
Ahnuld ratings are not so good.
Californians are having buyers remorse and have started a recall petition.
That karma strikes again.
Quote by TriSec:
*grunt*
Quote by HoneyBearKelly:
Ahnuld ratings are not so good.
Californians are having buyers remorse and have started a recall petition.
That karma strikes again.
Quote by Raine:Quote by wickedpam:
Nonverbal communtications
May fave non verbal communication.
Quote by wickedpam:
Nonverbal communtications
Quote by velveeta jones:
Another recall?
Hey, would it be too late to start a recall petition for bush/cheney?
Quote by wickedpam:
a journalism degree is a BA, an English degree is a BA but we are well schooled in BS
Quote by Scoopster:
Better version of the one from the other day...
Quote by Raine:
Ok... raine is bummed. I tried to call in, and the screener said to call back. AFTER she took my info. I miss Rebekah...
:(
Quote by Raine:
Ok... raine is bummed. I tried to call in, and the screener said to call back. AFTER she took my info. I miss Rebekah...
:(
Quote by Random:
Well...that didn't work.
Quote by livingonli:
Sarah Palin is smart. Compared to what?![]()
Right-wing tools will defend anything that they do.
Quote by livingonli:Quote by Random:
Well...that didn't work.
What didn't work?
Quote by TriSec:
I'll be glad when Momma and the Mooks are back....
(its kinda dead in here....think next week this place will be jumpin?)
<-- practicing with reverb
Quote by Raine:
Florida Gay Adoption ban ruled unsconstitutional.
Quote by TriSec:
Sorry, those are some bitter tears. I've been blowing out over here on the carpet.
(and we refer to it as a "water key" among polite company.)
Quote by Scoopster:
Better version of the one from the other day...
Quote by starling310:
Goodmorningafternoon.
:: scans blog ::Quote by Scoopster:
Better version of the one from the other day...
:rofl:
Scoop, can you send me this if I PM you my email?
Quote by Will in Phoenix:
Good morning, bloggers!!! (Or is it afternoon where you are.) Excellent blog post, BobR!!
Quote by Raine:
You know, I was responded to something on a thread on the Message Board, regarding a man set free after being convicted for murdering 2 black men in Missisppi (JAmes Ford Seale)
HE was released becuase the statute of limitiations (right to a speedy trial)... I quoted the 6th ammendment...
In all criminal prosecutions, the accused shall enjoy the right to a speedy and public trial, by an impartial jury of the State and district where in the crime shall have been committed, which district shall have been previously ascertained by law, and to be informed of the nature and cause of the accusation; to be confronted with the witnesses against him; to have compulsory process for obtaining witnesses in his favor, and to have the Assistance of Counsel for his defense.
It occurs to me, if Sarah Palin charged victims to pay for their own evidence in a rape case... would that NOT be unconstitutional in accordance to the 6th and possibly the 14th ammendment? HEre is the 14th, Section 1: (boldface mine)
Section 1. All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside. No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.
=================================
boldface mine. Just a thought.
Quote by BobR:
Hurricane Ike as seen from the space station:
Quote by Shane-O:Quote by Raine:
You know, I was responded to something on a thread on the Message Board, regarding a man set free after being convicted for murdering 2 black men in Missisppi (JAmes Ford Seale)
HE was released becuase the statute of limitiations (right to a speedy trial)... I quoted the 6th ammendment...
In all criminal prosecutions, the accused shall enjoy the right to a speedy and public trial, by an impartial jury of the State and district where in the crime shall have been committed, which district shall have been previously ascertained by law, and to be informed of the nature and cause of the accusation; to be confronted with the witnesses against him; to have compulsory process for obtaining witnesses in his favor, and to have the Assistance of Counsel for his defense.
It occurs to me, if Sarah Palin charged victims to pay for their own evidence in a rape case... would that NOT be unconstitutional in accordance to the 6th and possibly the 14th ammendment? HEre is the 14th, Section 1: (boldface mine)
Section 1. All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside. No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.
=================================
boldface mine. Just a thought.
Raine- you lookin' for a response on this - or "just a thought"?
Quote by starling310:
I miss Thom, but I like this Lee Rayburn guy.
![]()
Quote by Will in Phoenix:
Good morning, bloggers!!! (Or is it afternoon where you are.) Excellent blog post, BobR!!
Sorry that I have been quiet, but I just got my internet connection here in Phoenix. I am busy working on a few things but I thought I would swing by as I am getting ready to run some errands.
As for Palin, I am not surprised by her performance. She should know the Bush doctrine, and I think that she will prove to be a flash in the pan.
Raine, I did see some of Barack Obama at the service forum and he handled himself well. I think that we have to keep some faith that the American people will chose a superior candidate (Obama) over a cynical panderer (McCain).
Quote by Raine:
NOt sure What I am looking for.
Seriously. I am trying to figure out how one paying for their rape kit is constitutional.
This is akin, imo, to asking people to pay for thier own evidence. Something seems VERY hinky here.
I posted a few constitutional arguments...maybe.
I am just not accustomed to people payting the state for evidence for trial. ESPECIALLY defendents. This just seems really wrong here, and I do not understand WHY a rape victim would have to pay for this kind of evidence.
IF... and this is an IF... the state charged a person with rape... why would the rape victim have to pay for the rape kit? How is that constitiutional?
Quote by starling310:Quote by BobR:
Hurricane Ike as seen from the space station:
If it weren't so scary, I'd dare say it's beautiful.
Quote by Shane-O:
The "hinky" comes in from the disparate treatment.
When have you ever heard of a shooting victim having to pay for a ballistics test? Fingerprinting?
However, at times, DNA testing cost is shouldered by the victim.
Where's the line?
Quote by livingonli:
Then the issue is equal protection under the law.
Quote by Raine:
That is why making a victim paying for their own evidence is illegal... EVEN in cases of DNA testng at this point.
Quote by starling310:
:: listening to some Frangela ::
Re : Palin "A heap of stupid and crazy"
:spit:
Quote by Shane-O:Quote by livingonli:
Then the issue is equal protection under the law.
Bingo!
(The 6th has nothing to do with it)
Quote by Shane-O:Quote by livingonli:
Then the issue is equal protection under the law.
Bingo!
(The 6th has nothing to do with it)
Quote by Raine:
Go Planned PArenthood!!!
Like I said, I was waiting for groups to do what they do best.
This is what we need now. THIS is what I want to see.
Defend that one John MCCain.
Quote by livingonli:
I wonder how many of these people are also Bush or McCain supporters?
Quote by Shane-O:Quote by Raine:
That is why making a victim paying for their own evidence is illegal... EVEN in cases of DNA testng at this point.
Careful - "illegal" and "Unconstitutional" are different (I know I'm parsing - but, that's what I do...)
Quote by Scoopster:
McShame's new ad slams Obama for being "disrespectful of the white female VP nominee"
WHAT A FUCKING RACIST ASSHAT.
Quote by BobR:
Idiots![]()
Quote by BobR:Quote by livingonli:
I wonder how many of these people are also Bush or McCain supporters?
I would say that's irrelevent, since you can't vote when you're dead.
Quote by Raine:Quote by Scoopster:
McShame's new ad slams Obama for being "disrespectful of the white female VP nominee"
WHAT A FUCKING RACIST ASSHAT.
Evidently,John MCCAin REALLY thinks Barack needs to learn his place... eh?
What a racist pig.
Quote by Raine:Quote by Scoopster:
McShame's new ad slams Obama for being "disrespectful of the white female VP nominee"
WHAT A FUCKING RACIST ASSHAT.
Evidently,John MCCAin REALLY thinks Barack needs to learn his place... eh?
What a racist pig.
Quote by Raine:Quote by Shane-O:Quote by Raine:
That is why making a victim paying for their own evidence is illegal... EVEN in cases of DNA testng at this point.
Careful - "illegal" and "Unconstitutional" are different (I know I'm parsing - but, that's what I do...)
Parsing is fine... I am truying to understand this.
How is it constitutional to force people to PAY for something the authorities shoud be doing to prove a case?
Seriously.
If a wonam says she was raped, it seems to me that unless a rape kit is used it becomes he/She.
That meens it is circumstantial, no?
A rape kit can provide more solid evidence, right? that would HELP the people who have the authority to investigate... why would the put the burdon on the plaintiff?
I am no lawyer Shane, you know that, put this just doesn NOT seem in line with the idea of innocent until proven guilty.
Quote by TriSec:
It's over.
Who are these people? Who are all these fucking idiots?
Well, if McCain wins it's official; we're a global pariah state and richly deserve whatever the rest of the world does, whether it's marginalizing us, moving on past us, or maybe taking some sort of global action via the UN.
![]()
Quote by Scoopster:
McShame's new ad slams Obama for being "disrespectful of the white female VP nominee"
WHAT A FUCKING RACIST ASSHAT.
Quote by livingonli:Quote by TriSec:
It's over.
Who are these people? Who are all these fucking idiots?
Well, if McCain wins it's official; we're a global pariah state and richly deserve whatever the rest of the world does, whether it's marginalizing us, moving on past us, or maybe taking some sort of global action via the UN.
![]()
And if Harper gets a majority in the October 14th Canadian Election, moving north is not even an option.
Quote by TriSec:Quote by livingonli:Quote by TriSec:
It's over.
Who are these people? Who are all these fucking idiots?
Well, if McCain wins it's official; we're a global pariah state and richly deserve whatever the rest of the world does, whether it's marginalizing us, moving on past us, or maybe taking some sort of global action via the UN.
![]()
And if Harper gets a majority in the October 14th Canadian Election, moving north is not even an option.
I guess that leaves armed rebellion, then. :pirate:
Quote by TriSec:
It's over.
Who are these people? Who are all these fucking idiots?
Well, if McCain wins it's official; we're a global pariah state and richly deserve whatever the rest of the world does, whether it's marginalizing us, moving on past us, or maybe taking some sort of global action via the UN.
![]()
Quote by Raine:Something is wrong there, tri... NY a WEAK dem sate? Something is not right with this.Quote by TriSec:
It's over.
Who are these people? Who are all these fucking idiots?
Well, if McCain wins it's official; we're a global pariah state and richly deserve whatever the rest of the world does, whether it's marginalizing us, moving on past us, or maybe taking some sort of global action via the UN.
![]()
Quote by TriSec:
Don't mock it scoop. You're aware Vermont has a thriving separatist movement. My feeling is the rest of New England is just steps away from joining up. If McCain wins, they may try to go through with it.
I said it before, especially now with the neo-cons growing in stature north of the border. Get a map, and draw a line around the New England states and the Maritime Provinces.
Looks pretty good, doesn't it?
Quote by TriSec:
Don't mock it scoop. You're aware Vermont has a thriving separatist movement. My feeling is the rest of New England is just steps away from joining up. If McCain wins, they may try to go through with it.
I said it before, especially now with the neo-cons growing in stature north of the border. Get a map, and draw a line around the New England states and the Maritime Provinces.
Looks pretty good, doesn't it?
Quote by TriSec:
It's over.
Who are these people? Who are all these fucking idiots?
Well, if McCain wins it's official; we're a global pariah state and richly deserve whatever the rest of the world does, whether it's marginalizing us, moving on past us, or maybe taking some sort of global action via the UN.
![]()
Quote by livingonli:Quote by Raine:Something is wrong there, tri... NY a WEAK dem sate? Something is not right with this.Quote by TriSec:
It's over.
Who are these people? Who are all these fucking idiots?
Well, if McCain wins it's official; we're a global pariah state and richly deserve whatever the rest of the world does, whether it's marginalizing us, moving on past us, or maybe taking some sort of global action via the UN.
![]()
Even if you consider upstate NY being a little more Republican, that would have to assume that the PUMAs do exist. The poll data is not adding up or only the stupid people are being asked.
Quote by TriSec:
I'm on edge here Bob.
I was never nervous about the polls before, because all the electoral college data pointed to Obama. This is the first poll I've seen that has that number changing, too.
Fuck this political system that had the conventions back-to-back. Who's idea was that? Did the Dems announce their schedule and then the Repugs swooped in and went??
Nothing they do is beyond suspicion. Nothing. If the President was standing outside in the Rose Garden in the sun telling us what a beautiful day it is, I'd suspect they were in a TV studio somewhere with the proper effects.
Seriously, If I was personally on fire and felt my own flesh burning, if a Republican told me I was on fire I would not believe the bastard.
Quote by TriSec:
I'm on edge here Bob.
I was never nervous about the polls before, because all the electoral college data pointed to Obama. This is the first poll I've seen that has that number changing, too.
Fuck this political system that had the conventions back-to-back. Who's idea was that? Did the Dems announce their schedule and then the Repugs swooped in and went??
Nothing they do is beyond suspicion. Nothing. If the President was standing outside in the Rose Garden in the sun telling us what a beautiful day it is, I'd suspect they were in a TV studio somewhere with the proper effects.
Seriously, If I was personally on fire and felt my own flesh burning, if a Republican told me I was on fire I would not believe the bastard.
Quote by Scoopster:
McShame's new ad slams Obama for being "disrespectful of the white female VP nominee"
WHAT A FUCKING RACIST ASSHAT.
Quote by Random:
THIS is Racist
Quote by TriSec:
Read Up, youngling.
This is what used to happen when black men were not "respectful" towards white women.
In a program begun by ex-Gov. Frank Murkowski, and intensified by Palin, Alaska has sponsored the aerial hunting of more than 800 wolves since 2002 — out of a state population of perhaps 9,000. Pilots chase the wolves through the deep snow, sometimes for miles, until the exhausted animals have slowed enough to be blown away with shotguns. Then the plane lands and finishes the job, unless the wounded wolf has managed to crawl into the deep woods to bleed to death in solitude.
Quote by livingonli:
And it's time for another night in the saltmine. Between the weather and this election, I need something to get out of this funk.
Calgon, take me away!
Just in case I don't get a chance to post later. Good night folks.![]()
![]()
Quote by Scoopster:
Sarah Palin Baby Name Generator - I'm "Drill Swollen Palin" :rofl:
Quote by Scoopster:
Sarah Palin Baby Name Generator - I'm "Drill Swollen Palin" :rofl:
Quote by velveeta jones:Quote by Scoopster:
Sarah Palin Baby Name Generator - I'm "Drill Swollen Palin" :rofl:
Sadly, Velveeta's name sounds like the name of a rough-handling, unlean Ob/GYN:
"Slap Spear Palin"
![]()
Quote by Scoopster:
Sarah Palin Baby Name Generator - I'm "Drill Swollen Palin" :rofl:
Quote by Scoopster:
Sarah Palin Baby Name Generator - I'm "Drill Swollen Palin" :rofl:
Quote by Scoopster:
By the way, I have to ask this question..
Has anyone seen an Obama ad on national TV anyplace, outside of talking head shows I mean..
I haven't. I've seen a whole lotta McCain ads though, especially on channels like Spike, Vs., USA, ESPN and so on..
Quote by Raine:Quote by Scoopster:
By the way, I have to ask this question..
Has anyone seen an Obama ad on national TV anyplace, outside of talking head shows I mean..
I haven't. I've seen a whole lotta McCain ads though, especially on channels like Spike, Vs., USA, ESPN and so on..
I have.
I am in the new battleground state tho...
truthfully, when I lived in NY, I never saw an ad for Kerry or *ush.
Seems to me that McCain thinks he can take that state... Seems to me Obamam might be assuming things.
I dunno, here in atlanta, I have seens ads for both, and mcCain drives me up the wall.
Quote by Random:
THIS is Racist
Quote by wickedpam:
I have a friends in the area of the storm - one is staying because 1) he is a college student from Mexico and doesnt' really have any place to go but to an aunts house that is local and 2) he feels that he can help once the storm has cleared and if people need help aid groups can use the help with translating.
The other is a college student near Houston, he's worried but he and his family don't really have any place to go either.
Quote by Raine:Quote by wickedpam:
I have a friends in the area of the storm - one is staying because 1) he is a college student from Mexico and doesnt' really have any place to go but to an aunts house that is local and 2) he feels that he can help once the storm has cleared and if people need help aid groups can use the help with translating.
The other is a college student near Houston, he's worried but he and his family don't really have any place to go either.
I know it is a distance for them Mala, but they have a place here in Atlanta if they need. They need to get out of harms way now.
Life is more important than where to go. I know it isn't much, but something is better than no place to go.
Quote by Random:
Waaaait
No one is here?
Quote by BobR:
holy crap - the price of oil actually went below $100/bbl!!
Did the price of gas go down too?
Quote by velveeta jones:
Afternoon all. Back from a bit of shopping/work/meeting. So......... ya'll missed the View? So did I. Thankfully, HuffPo is on top of it. This is a must read/watch. Finally some actual questions to John McCain. Even Joy Behar calling him on his lies!!
GOOD STUFF HERE
If you have a chance, please Digg it. I am also writing a letter to The View. We need to encourage journalists to ask questions of the (dare I say it.....) Hardball variety!
********
Hello Will! How hot is it in Phoenix? :lol: