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Unintended Consequences
Author: BobR    Date: 06/24/2011 12:28:17

The Law of Unintended Consequences:
"...[the purposeful] actions of people — and especially of government — always have effects that are unanticipated or unintended."
- The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics


It's happened to all of us. We do something to accomplish a task, and something else happens that throws us for a loop. How did we not plan for that? How did we not anticipate that? Part of the science and art of Engineering is designing with a "what if?" mentality. Even trying to anticipate doesn't always work.

In politics, war, and economics, hubris is the usual catalyst for unintended consequences. People in power assume they know what they're doing, and barrel ahead at full speed without seriously anticipating a "plan B". The rise of the Taliban in Afghanistan was a result of arming the locals when the Soviets invaded. The Bush administration was a prime example of not thinking about the possible side-effects in all of its actions.

There are plenty of examples from current events. In anticipation of (and/or a reaction to) oil prices and global warming / climate change, scientists have sought alternatives to petroleum for powering cars. One early option was ethanol, which is traditionally made from corn. Unfortunately, there is a finite amount of corn, based on what farmers plant. This has caused a surge in the price of corn, which has hit us in the wallet. It has also hit food processing companies in the wallet. An unintended consequence is that Kellog's Corn Pops (a favorite cereal from my childhood) may disappear forever. Yes, there may be other factors as well (such as slipping sales), but that combined with a thinning profit margin spells doom for my golden sweet crunchy memories.

For the Republicans, there is the problem of framing their rhetoric with absolutes. They apparently thought that drawing a line in the sand would earn them respect and cause the Democrats to buckle. The latter assessment may still happen, but they have nonetheless painted themselves into a corner.

They have demanded that taxes be cut, not raised, and demanded that "entitlements" be cut. The groundswell of support they anticipated has not happened. In fact, it's been quite the opposite. This has forced the Republicans into ever increasing acts of quixotic political desperation, such as Cantor walking out of budget talks. Sure their hard-core supporters might cheer them, but not the general public. It's not well-known yet (but it will be) that the walk-out was planned weeks in advance. Ultimately, Cantor's action has left Speaker Boehner high and dry, which may actually be his intended consequence (if he is eyeing the Speaker's chair for himself). What it does, though, is weaken the Republicans' aura of a unified front, one of the few things they had working in their favor. The appearance of in-fighting will actually likely embolden the Democrats.

The cracks in the armor of Republican lockstep is showing in the reactions to Tea Party candidates. Originally, the Republicans embraced the loony extreme factions as a means to win more elections. What they failed to anticipate was that the extremism was not an act. While that extremism may be embraced in party circles, the public is rejecting it. The buyer's remorse from the 2010 elections will result in Republican losses in 2012. This has forced some Republican lawmakers to publicly distance themselves from the genie they unleashed from the bottle. This will also hurt them as the Tea Party members feel the cold shoulder of shunning, and lash out in return.

One final bit of double-reverse unintended consequences comes via Jon Stewart and FAUX News. When Stewart was on Chris Wallace's show, he stated that Fox News viewers are the “most consistently misinformed” in “every poll”. It was that last bit of his statement - "every poll" - that he failed to anticipate would bite him. Politifact checked polls and publicly castigated Stewart by showing that FAUX News viewers were actually about average - when it came to polls about political facts that no one disputes. What Politifact didn't anticipate was that Stewart was NOT going to apologize, and instead provided a long laundry list of misinformation spewed by FAUX News.

Here's something to anticipate: if you're going to nit-pick, expect the nits to pick back.
 

44 comments (Latest Comment: 06/24/2011 22:30:56 by Mondobubba)
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Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 12:43:23
Morning

I'm always waiting for the other shoe to drop or something to comeback at me when I'm trying to plan something. When it does I hope it turns out better then intended.

Can also now say I have been the to the Crime and Punishment museum (21.95 to get in - ouch). Ted Bundy's VW, Bonnie & Clyde's shot up car, the electric car and the gas chamber - creepy beyond words.

Comment by TriSec on 06/24/2011 12:54:33
I unfortunately seem to subscribe to the corollary, "No good deed goes unpunished."



Comment by Scoopster on 06/24/2011 13:25:26
Morning all & Happy Fridee!

Well here we are.. one more week to go until the town's big day once again and my landlord's been working like a madman trying to finish last minute decorations & arrangements for the various 4th-related events. I expect I probably won't see him again until a week from Tuesday.

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 13:29:13
Good Morning! I was not aware that Cantor planned this. What a tool.

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 13:30:28
Quote by wickedpam:
Can also now say I have been the to the Crime and Punishment museum (21.95 to get in - ouch). Ted Bundy's VW, Bonnie & Clyde's shot up car, the electric car and the gas chamber - creepy beyond words.
It sounds better than the Spy museum.


Comment by Scoopster on 06/24/2011 13:33:01
Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 13:35:47
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
Can also now say I have been the to the Crime and Punishment museum (21.95 to get in - ouch). Ted Bundy's VW, Bonnie & Clyde's shot up car, the electric car and the gas chamber - creepy beyond words.
It sounds better than the Spy museum.



Never been, but I want to go, to the Spy Musuem - its in the same area - Chinatown/Gallery Place stop get out on the Arena side. The Potrait Gallery is right there too.

I mean it was interesting. I like mysteries and all but there was a lot of reading at the C&P - Did see a little blurb on Cole Younger - a person I am rumored to be related to.

All the stuff was really interesting but really creepy when you realized it was acually used. And the Bundy car is beyond creepy - its in the front lobby

Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 13:37:10
Quote by Raine:
Good Morning! I was not aware that Cantor planned this. What a tool.


too bad he's not in either of our districts

I think tools are now offended


Comment by TriSec on 06/24/2011 13:54:35
*grunt*

There's no funky museums like that around these parts.

There is the "Boston Strangler House" in Belmont nearby, though. And have I mentioned the Molasses Flood yet this year? :-P



Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 14:00:30
Nice to see that the NYS senate has its priorities straight...
And as usual, there was no shortage of eccentric measures on the table. In recent weeks, legislators approved a bill requiring that a notice be printed on the packaging of baby bottles and sippy cups warning of the risk of early childhood tooth decay. They forbade the possession or sale of bear gallbladder or bile. They created a state commission to plan events commemorating the 200th anniversary of the War of 1812. And they finalized a ban on the sale of so-called smoking paraphernalia — including hookahs, water pipes and vaporizers — to anyone under age 18.

Lawmakers were pressing to conclude the 2011 legislative session on Friday, but it was unclear if they would have to extend their session further; it had been scheduled to conclude on June 20.
AND THEY ARE STILL WAITING FOR A VOTE ON MARRIAGE EQUALITY.

Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 14:10:29
The bear thing is acutally important to stop the poahing of bears that could be endangered - there is a market for bear parts in Asia

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 14:14:07
Quote by wickedpam:
The bear thing is acutally important to stop the poahing of bears that could be endangered - there is a market for bear parts in Asia
Well they still could have given Equality a damn vote.


Comment by TriSec on 06/24/2011 14:14:40
Dear AlgoreTV:

Can we get a KO audio-only podcast?

Thankx!

(video is out there, but not the whole show...only snippets.)


Comment by TriSec on 06/24/2011 14:17:57
Heh...Dr. Maddow going with Whitey as the lead story last nite.

I'll note that he was hiding in plain sight, just like another dude on the vaunted FBI list.



Comment by Scoopster on 06/24/2011 14:18:24
Oh by the way.. this move to release oil from the strategic reserves? BRILLIANT.

And of course, the fucking corporate media is reporting it COMPLETELY wrong by saying it's because of Libya. NO IT'S NOT CUZ LIBYA HAS (almost) NO FUCKING OIL!!!

Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 14:20:00
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
The bear thing is acutally important to stop the poahing of bears that could be endangered - there is a market for bear parts in Asia
Well they still could have given Equality a damn vote.



agreed, they need to learn to walk and chew gum at the same time. Suspect there are some that are stalling

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 14:25:58
Today is the Second anniversary of the Death of Michael Jackson.

Comment by Will in Chicago on 06/24/2011 14:26:09
Good morning, bloggers!!

I am going to the Taste of Chicago with friends today, but thought that I would let you know that Nicole Sandler will be in for Randi Rhodes today.

Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 15:22:08



Bet Breitty is stalking him now. Seems to be how he got Rep Wiener

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 15:27:27
Quote by wickedpam:



Bet Breitty is stalking him now. Seems to be how he got Rep Wiener
he'd better not have dirt to be found.




Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 15:29:58
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:



Bet Breitty is stalking him now. Seems to be how he got Rep Wiener
he'd better not have dirt to be found.





everyone has dirt to be found, its just the degree of the dirt

Comment by TriSec on 06/24/2011 15:43:12
Oh, after I hack up my spleen and gall bladder today, I'd appreciate the blog making an expeditious donation of my carcass to science.

coughs up lung --->

Comment by clintster on 06/24/2011 15:43:31
Robert, lighten up!

Comment by Scoopster on 06/24/2011 15:49:40
Speaking of dirt, it looks like the new Senator from Wisconsin conveniently paid himself a bonus for the same amount as all of his campaign expenses.

That's a cute little attempted end-run around campaign finance laws..

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 15:49:56
Quote by clintster:
Robert, lighten up!
oo I missed Robert, what a shame.


Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 15:53:57
ok, this doll is REALLY creepy.
http://a.abcnews.com/images/US/ht_pregnant_barbie_2_sc_110623_wg.jpg


Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 15:55:22
I think my creepy threshold has been reached

Comment by livingonli on 06/24/2011 15:55:22
Good morning folks. Another day, another dollar (more or less).

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 15:55:54
Comment by livingonli on 06/24/2011 15:56:10
Quote by wickedpam:
I think my creepy threshold has been reached

That one would never make the facebook creepy doll collection.

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 15:57:01
Someone should tell ABC news that the baby is in breach... lol!

Comment by clintster on 06/24/2011 15:57:03
Quote by Raine:
ok, this doll is REALLY creepy.
http://a.abcnews.com/images/US/ht_pregnant_barbie_2_sc_110623_wg.jpg


Yikes. Hooo boy. I... I...



Comment by BobR on 06/24/2011 15:58:00

Pregnant teen Midge - who's the daddy? And will she finish High School?


Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 15:59:28
Quote by livingonli:
Quote by wickedpam:
I think my creepy threshold has been reached

That one would never make the facebook creepy doll collection.



That one goes past the creepy Blythe dolls into its own category

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 16:13:11
Christie is such a total assknob New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie says President Obama and Congress can learn a thing or two from his bipartisan victory on a pension and health care overhaul that will save the state billions of dollars.

The Republican governor, speaking this morning on NBC's Today show, said Obama has to get involved personally if he wants Republicans in Congress to agree on raising the debt limit.

"Everybody needs to bring skin to the game," Christie said. "First, the president can show up. You can't negotiate through a secondary person."

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 16:22:09
Quote by Raine:
Christie is such a total assknob New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie says President Obama and Congress can learn a thing or two from his bipartisan victory on a pension and health care overhaul that will save the state billions of dollars.

The Republican governor, speaking this morning on NBC's Today show, said Obama has to get involved personally if he wants Republicans in Congress to agree on raising the debt limit.

"Everybody needs to bring skin to the game," Christie said. "First, the president can show up. You can't negotiate through a secondary person."
If I never hear Chris Christie using the word Skin, I would die a happy woman.

Comment by wickedpam on 06/24/2011 16:23:45
Quote by Raine:
Christie is such a total assknob New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie says President Obama and Congress can learn a thing or two from his bipartisan victory on a pension and health care overhaul that will save the state billions of dollars.

The Republican governor, speaking this morning on NBC's Today show, said Obama has to get involved personally if he wants Republicans in Congress to agree on raising the debt limit.

"Everybody needs to bring skin to the game," Christie said. "First, the president can show up. You can't negotiate through a secondary person."



Its not the presidents job to negotiate finacials(sp) its the job of the House so Cantty needs to get back to work

Comment by Raine on 06/24/2011 16:57:16
Interesting. The right has gone so far, they now are left. House rejects measure to continue US role in Libya


WASHINGTON (AP) -- The House has voted down a measure giving President Barack Obama the authority to continue the U.S. military action against Libya.

The vote was 295-123 on Friday. The congressional action has no immediate effect on American involvement but represents a repudiation of the commander in chief.

The vote marks the first time since 1999 that either House has voted against a military operation. The last time was over President Bill Clinton's authority in the Bosnian war.

Comment by Scoopster on 06/24/2011 18:24:26
Just saw that Peter Falk has died.. G'night Columbo.

Comment by TriSec on 06/24/2011 18:44:00
TriSec's Bad Habits, #23:

I'm very impatient waiting for the coffee to brew. I've been taking 5 or 6 showy paces back and forth in front of the coffee machine whilst waiting.

Only, I've been goose-stepping. I probably should stop.

Comment by TriSec on 06/24/2011 18:55:58
Oh, and a delayed reaction to today's blog:

Funny thing about sweetened cereals....with Papa Trisec being insulin-dependent, we never had sugary cereals in the house from the very beginning. I never actually developed a taste for them; I find most of them to be insipidly sweet. I do have a soft spot for frosted flakes, but that's about the only one.

And it's old-people cereal, but we've always liked raisin bran. Ah, well. Donuts are about my only yielding to sweet breakfasts...I rather prefer savoury.



Comment by livingonli on 06/24/2011 20:34:33
Tonight I have the O's-Reds game on MASN 2. At least the weather in Baltimore looks better than the weather here.

Comment by Mondobubba on 06/24/2011 22:30:56
Quote by Scoopster:
Just saw that Peter Falk has died.. G'night Columbo.


My father's grad school roommate. They were both going to The Maxwell School of Public Admin at Syracuse U on the GI Bill. Falk had the glass eye then. Spent the night in glass of water on the nightstand between the beds. Creepy!