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Cashing the Reality Check
Author: BobR    Date: 06/25/2012 13:02:37

Despite the ongoing nonsense of "fast and furious" and the pending SCOTUS decision on the ACA, most Americans will still likely vote their pocketbook, and who they think will be best for it. The choice between Republicans and Democrats generally boils down to "Lower Taxes!" -vs- "Safety Nets!". The Republicans push the line that we know better what to do with our money (even though we don't), and if we end up on the street with a paper cup and an "I will work for food" sign, it's just because we weren't personally responsible. Democrats err on the side of caution, acknowledging that a few "welfare queens" are a worthy price to pay to ensure fewer people end up in complete poverty.

Rarely acknowledged because it clashes with our American-centric world view is that there are factors outside of our personal control (and control of the federal government) that have a huge impact on our economy. Because The Market is international, the economies, banks, and investors around the world have a direct effect on our own economy. When banks (either U.S. or otherwise) make risky investments, the ripples travel across the seven seas to every other country.

Thus it was our initial meltdown in fall of 2008 that created a domino effect in Europe which is still felt to this day. The problems it caused are reflecting back on us even today. Last week, the DOW fell 250 points on news of disappointing economic data from Europe and China, as well as slashed growth projections here in the U.S. (oil fell as well, which is actually good news for consumers). The next day, Moody's downgraded the credit rating of most major U.S. banks, including Morgan-Stanley. Why? Their continued investments in derivatives (which caused the initial meltdown), as well as other risky investments.

It was investment in those risky products that caused problems in Europe as well. Countries like Ireland and Iceland which had balanced budgets for decades were suddenly in trouble. Greece and Spain were on the precipice of default. To protect the Euro and the economies which depended on it, a decision was made: austerity.

The European austerity model sounds awfully familiar: cut government spending and proportionally raise taxes on the middle class (NOTE: This is done via increasing the VAT, a national sales tax, which effectively increases proportionally more for the lower economic stratas. In the U.S., cutting taxes for the rich has the same effect, proportionally).

Nobel Prize-winning economist explains why this doesn't work: It assumes confidence will return to the market, something which is rare and slow when it happens:
In Europe, by contrast, the pain caucus has been in control for more than a year, insisting that sound money and balanced budgets are the answer to all problems. Underlying this insistence have been economic fantasies, in particular belief in the confidence fairy — that is, belief that slashing spending will actually create jobs, because fiscal austerity will improve private-sector confidence.

Unfortunately, the confidence fairy keeps refusing to make an appearance.

Remember when Dubya told people to "go shopping"? That's the idea of making people (and companies) confident to spend money. It didn't work in Europe, as their continued economic woes continue to show. Considering the international aspect of large companies, there's no reason to expect it would work any better here. On top of that - the Republicans want even less regulations on businesses, despite direct evidence that the financial crisis wouldn't have occurred had the Republicans not removed the safeguards on the banking industry.

And yet - this is what the Republicans continue to push. Romney's biggest doners got to hear details of his plans over the weekend at a Rich Donor's Summit:
Billionaire financier and Home Depot founder Ken Langone also spoke, and according to Conti, relayed a message for the current administration: "Leave us alone and let us hire people." Conti said Langone told the audience with today's "regulations," he would not be able to start Home Depot.

Utter nonsense, to be sure. I would LOVE to ask him what the federal government is doing that is preventing Home Depot from hiring people.

This all points to the importance of the impending election. Romney - if elected - would (supposedly) eliminate regulations and drastically cut government jobs. How does making people unemployed help the economy? How does a reduced budget deficit automatically translate into higher employment? It doesn't. That's just one facet of why this election is so important to every person in this country.

Which is why it's a bit shocking to learn that 1 in 4 voters are currently undecided. There are some on the extreme fringes (both left and right) that might consider both of these candidates to be "the same". To the rest of us, though, the differences on economic policy - not to mention social issues, and international attitude - couldn't be more different. These candidates aren't cyphers which require further investigation. It's pretty clear where they both stand on just about everything.

Even worse is the mentality of the Republican voter. When one in five Republicans still believes that President Obama is a Muslim (and apparently if he was it would matter for some reason), you have to wonder what other nonsense they believe. It's embarrassing for our country.

With so much at stake, it's important to understand how critical education is. In this case, the education needs to narrowly focus on how taxes, government spending, and jobs are intertwined, and how the plans of the presidential candidates will effect those. It's time for a reality check, paid in full.
 

29 comments (Latest Comment: 06/26/2012 01:14:31 by Raine)
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Comment by wickedpam on 06/25/2012 13:21:01
Morning

Seeing as I just tried to have a new front door installed from the Home Depot and the nickle and dimeing they tried to pull, Mr. Langone is not all that interesting in the consumer either

Comment by Mondobubba on 06/25/2012 13:23:09
Regulation is preventing Home Depot from hiring works? :condesending Wonka: How?

Comment by wickedpam on 06/25/2012 13:27:20
oh and I'll be disappearing about 10:30ish - today is our kinda picnic event, the first event I've organize (wish me luck it all turns out okay)

Comment by Scoopster on 06/25/2012 13:29:28
Mornin' all.. Checking in quick before this storm knocks out our power!

Comment by Mondobubba on 06/25/2012 13:55:13
Oh look, today's weather: Rain! Tomorrow, more rain. Wednesday, rain. Thursday, rain!

Comment by Scoopster on 06/25/2012 14:49:54
SCOTUS Rulings for today are in..

- Montana's Supreme Court is summarily overruled by the same 5-4 split as the original CU decision.

- Arizona's SB1070 law is mostly struck down 5-3 (Kagan recused); however the clause about police being allowed to check immigration status upon "reasonable suspicion" is upheld. Basically that just means the state must do what it normally should do - turn people who are illegal over to ICE and not detain anyone otherwise.

Comment by Scoopster on 06/25/2012 14:53:25
Oh, and ACA decision will be delivered Thursday at 10AM.

Comment by Mondobubba on 06/25/2012 15:01:54
In the "boy that is dumb file," the motion detector activated faucets in our bathrooms are battery powered.

Comment by Will in Chicago on 06/25/2012 15:17:05
Good morning, bloggers!

BobR, thanks for a great blog! I think one key question is how to educate potential voters on the economy. Austerity has been a failure in Europe -- even the victors of the Greek elections who still want the loans from the Central Bank want to renegotiate some of the terms. Sadly, it seems that we see similar cycles throughout history. A lot of this nonsense was touted back in 1929 and 1930.

Comment by AuntAzalea on 06/25/2012 15:59:43
Quote by Will in Chicago:
Good morning, bloggers!

BobR, thanks for a great blog! I think one key question is how to educate potential voters on the economy. Austerity has been a failure in Europe -- even the victors of the Greek elections who still want the loans from the Central Bank want to renegotiate some of the terms. Sadly, it seems that we see similar cycles throughout history. A lot of this nonsense was touted back in 1929 and 1930.


Good points in your blog BobR and I so agree with Will in Chicago that the question of educating voters is paramount.
The Supreme Courts immigration decision (the part that still stands constitutional- your papers please) will mobilize people as well.
I will be tuning in to see Romney at 4pm in Arizona- we will see what we shall see

Comment by BobR on 06/25/2012 16:07:57
Quote by Scoopster:
Oh, and ACA decision will be delivered Thursday at 10AM.

Aww... Shane-O was down there today with press credentials to do some reporting. I know he was hoping to report on the ACA ruling.

Comment by livingonli on 06/25/2012 16:17:44
Good day, folks. Interesting, that Republican mentality is similar to 1929 and 1930 since that was the last time Republican economic policy was dominant and it had just caused the crash that led to the Great Depression and I do believe we would have had another one if McCain had gotten elected although the only good thing that would have came out of that is that the GOP would be out of power for decades if that had happened.

Comment by Will in Chicago on 06/25/2012 16:43:20
Quote by livingonli:
Good day, folks. Interesting, that Republican mentality is similar to 1929 and 1930 since that was the last time Republican economic policy was dominant and it had just caused the crash that led to the Great Depression and I do believe we would have had another one if McCain had gotten elected although the only good thing that would have came out of that is that the GOP would be out of power for decades if that had happened.



I am concerned that the GOP is more than willing to use the debt ceiling limit to create a government shut down, creating a downturn in the economy. We are not operating in an era where the two parties compromise after a long debate. Rather, it seems that we have a winner take all mentality.


Comment by livingonli on 06/25/2012 16:53:53
Quote by Will in Chicago:
Quote by livingonli:
Good day, folks. Interesting, that Republican mentality is similar to 1929 and 1930 since that was the last time Republican economic policy was dominant and it had just caused the crash that led to the Great Depression and I do believe we would have had another one if McCain had gotten elected although the only good thing that would have came out of that is that the GOP would be out of power for decades if that had happened.



I am concerned that the GOP is more than willing to use the debt ceiling limit to create a government shut down, creating a downturn in the economy. We are not operating in an era where the two parties compromise after a long debate. Rather, it seems that we have a winner take all mentality.

The GOP are continuing the "my way or the highway" mentality of the Bush years. It seems to go back to Rove's plans to create permanent one-party rule of the GOP which they are continuing in course at the state level and trying to do in congress. They won't be happy until they have the permanent control of government. But, that can not be possible because with the pending demographic shifts, the kind of people supporting GOP policies are dying that and there are not too many taking their place unless they've been totally brainwashed by Fox News.

Comment by wickedpam on 06/25/2012 19:07:32


Comment by livingonli on 06/25/2012 19:14:41
I guess Shane-O is just phoning in to Thom since I only see Thom on the Free Speech TV feed.

Comment by BobR on 06/25/2012 19:16:00
Quote by livingonli:
I guess Shane-O is just phoning in to Thom since I only see Thom on the Free Speech TV feed.

Shane-O works there as the producer, so he is talking to Thom via his headphone mic.

Comment by BobR on 06/25/2012 19:16:20
Quote by wickedpam:

So - how'd that picnic go?

Comment by wickedpam on 06/25/2012 19:18:16
Quote by BobR:
Quote by wickedpam:

So - how'd that picnic go?



Think it went well - everyone loved the food but I may have ordered too much. Est cole slaw and baked beans. But oh well this was my first event that I organized on my own - not too bad really. Everyone is now is a food coma in the warehouse

We uses the Pork Barrel BBQ by you guys - they were really good

Comment by Mondobubba on 06/25/2012 19:22:49
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by BobR:
Quote by wickedpam:

So - how'd that picnic go?



Think it went well - everyone loved the food but I may have ordered too much. Est cole slaw and baked beans. But oh well this was my first event that I organized on my own - not too bad really. Everyone is now is a food coma in the warehouse

We uses the Pork Barrel BBQ by you guys - they were really good



A good book and some boxed wine for Mala, stat!

Comment by wickedpam on 06/25/2012 19:26:44
Quote by Mondobubba:
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by BobR:
Quote by wickedpam:

So - how'd that picnic go?



Think it went well - everyone loved the food but I may have ordered too much. Est cole slaw and baked beans. But oh well this was my first event that I organized on my own - not too bad really. Everyone is now is a food coma in the warehouse

We uses the Pork Barrel BBQ by you guys - they were really good



A good book and some boxed wine for Mala, stat!


- I could defiantly use both and a neck massage too


Comment by livingonli on 06/25/2012 20:16:58
Quote by BobR:
Quote by livingonli:
I guess Shane-O is just phoning in to Thom since I only see Thom on the Free Speech TV feed.

Shane-O works there as the producer, so he is talking to Thom via his headphone mic.

That would make sense. I guess they don't have a large studio since Free Speech TV is a fairly low budget operation.

Comment by Mondobubba on 06/25/2012 20:44:45
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Mondobubba:
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by BobR:
Quote by wickedpam:

So - how'd that picnic go?



Think it went well - everyone loved the food but I may have ordered too much. Est cole slaw and baked beans. But oh well this was my first event that I organized on my own - not too bad really. Everyone is now is a food coma in the warehouse

We uses the Pork Barrel BBQ by you guys - they were really good



A good book and some boxed wine for Mala, stat!


- I could defiantly use both and a neck massage too



Where is Raul, our darkly handsome blog massasge therapist?

Comment by livingonli on 06/25/2012 20:51:29
If I needed a massage, I would prefer a female one. Do we have a counterpart?

Comment by wickedpam on 06/25/2012 21:03:52
Quote by livingonli:
If I needed a massage, I would prefer a female one. Do we have a counterpart?



I thought we had Raul and Ingrid on the payroll

Comment by Mondobubba on 06/25/2012 21:35:55
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by livingonli:
If I needed a massage, I would prefer a female one. Do we have a counterpart?



I thought we had Raul and Ingrid on the payroll



We do!

Comment by Will in Chicago on 06/25/2012 22:06:01
Filter Free Radio returns tonight on Radio or Not at 7 Eastern.

Comment by Raine on 06/26/2012 01:14:31
Quote by Will in Chicago:
Filter Free Radio returns tonight on Radio or Not at 7 Eastern.
YES!

I am too pooped to listen today, but Jacob will be writing blogs here and there -- from time to time.

Is Skeptical Scott joining him tonite?