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Jumping off the Cliff.
Author: Raine    Date: 08/02/2012 12:57:46

On July 9, I wrote a post about the President coming down strongly in favor of extending the tax cuts for Americans making less than $250,000. In that post,I stated:
We will see tax fairness this year. I believe the GOP has run out of excuses. Obama gave them the tax cut extension 2 years ago, in return for DADT being repealed-- and the economy reacted exactly as many suspected. While some may criticize President Obama for not doing things fast enough, perhaps the long game is worth it in the end.
Two and a half weeks later, the Senate voted to reject the GOP Tax Plan and passed the Democratic plan. As I stated then, it is what the President has been proposing all along.

You will recall that the extension of the Bush Tax cuts a while back gave us the repeal of DADT -- but it also gave us what was called the Super Committee. I wrote about it last year. It was created during the Debt Ceiling fiasco during the summer of 2011. It was important then and it is important now. The super committee did fail, and as I wrote then, the repercussions of it include:
* Increased investor uncertainty. Investors already have little confidence Republicans and Democrats can bridge a yawning ideological divide over tax policy and who should shoulder the burden for reducing deficits. The U.S. Congress has had trouble passing even routine legislation this year, leading to repeated disruptions of government services.

* The committee's failure is unlikely to trigger another downgrade of the U.S. credit rating. Rating agencies have said they will look at a range of factors in making any decision but that the committee's washout will not be decisive.

* Republicans are already making noises about altering the $1.2 trillion in automatic spending cuts, or sequesters, that are due to kick in 2013 as a result of the super committee's failure. They want to soften the planned $600 billion defense cuts. If Congress starts tinkering with the sequesters, however, financial markets could become unnerved by the unraveling of savings seen as already "in the bank." Again, the 2012 elections could determine the fate of these cuts.

* Democrats and Republicans will try to use the super committee's dead end for political gain. Democrats will say the outcome is further evidence Republicans just want to protect the rich from sharing the burden of deficit reduction. Republicans will argue that, once again, Democrats fail to grasp the gravity of escalating costs of healthcare benefits.

* The White House had been bracing for days for the committee's failure and believes President Barack Obama can weather it without major political fallout and may even be able to score points against Republicans as he seeks re-election.
As I said then, it was mostly political. Mostly. However, there is an important issue looming here: Defense Cuts. $600 billions dollars of defense cuts. Remember the Trigger?
If the committee fails to agree on a package or the full Congress fails to pass it, a so-called "trigger mechanism" would enact $1.2 trillion in automatic spending cuts to serve as the second installment of deficit reduction measures.These cuts would be split between the national security and domestic arenas, but the biggest entitlement programs would be excluded from these automatic cuts.
So now what? People are getting nervous, and rightfully so. WaPo writes:
The deep federal spending cuts scheduled to take effect at the start of next year may trigger dismissal notices for tens of thousands of employees of government contractors, companies and analysts say, and the warnings may start going out at a particularly sensitive time:

Days before the presidential election.

By law, all but the smallest companies must notify their workforce at least 60 days in advance when they know of specific job cuts that are likely to happen.

Obama administration officials say that the threat of layoffs is overblown and that Republicans are playing up the possibility rather than trying to head it off. The Labor Department said Monday that it would be “inappropriate” for contractors to send out large-scale dismissal notices, because it is unclear whether the federal cuts will occur and how they would be carried out.

Republicans reacted with fury, saying it is the White House that is playing politics.
What does all this have to do with tax cuts?
Republicans have seized an opportunity to attack President Obama over the planned cuts to defense spending, while Obama is pointing at the GOP, saying he will not roll back the spending reduction without Republicans agreeing to higher taxes on the wealthy to help tame the nation’s debt. (snip)

Republicans, led by presidential contender Mitt Romney, have called for delaying the automatic cuts, which were put in place last year to close the nation’s budget gap. He also wants to stop the tax increases, which would occur when tax cuts adopted under President George W. Bush expire.

Democrats, including Obama, insist that they will postpone the spending cuts only if Republicans agree to increase taxes on the wealthy to help reduce federal borrowing.
The Republican controlled house has an out. They can vote for the tax bill passed in the Senate last week. It's really that simple. Tax cuts for the majority of Americans and the certainty of knowing there will be jobs for them going into the new year. It's almost as if this were planned.

It's been slow, arduous and frustrating to see the way things have been happening in Washington DC since the 2010 elections. The GOP has resisted EVERY step of the way. Obama has been accused of coddling them and being too flexible. I understand the frustration people have had with that, but here we are, in August with 3 months before the election and it appears as though slowly and painfully, this is going to happen. I really do believe that the GOP is going to HAVE to act on this tax issue. If not, they will be going home to constituents wondering why they don't have a job. People will want to know why it was more important to protect tax cuts for the wealthy over employment. For 98% of Americans, no tax cut in the world can put food on the table; only jobs can.


The Clock is ticking.

and
Raine


Update:
House Republicans today — by a vote of 170 to 257 — defeated a Democratic proposal to end the Bush tax cuts on income above $250,000. 19 Democrats joined all the Republicans in voting down the bill. The House Republican plan would instead extend all of the Bush tax cuts, as well as fast-track “tax reform” that includes more giveaways to the wealthy and corporations.

The House did vote to extend Bush-era tax cuts for one year by a vote of 256 to 171. 19 Democrats supported the measure, 1 Republican opposed it.
I would say that the GOP is the one taking Americans off the fiscal cliff.
 

32 comments (Latest Comment: 08/03/2012 00:05:24 by TriSec)
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Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 13:02:08
Morning

Who are the 19 and are they up for re-election this year?

Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 13:11:26
Quote by wickedpam:
Morning

Who are the 19 and are they up for re-election this year?
they are all up for re-election. I am still looking for those 19 bumbleheads..


Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 13:25:05
Harry Reid Doubles down....

"I am not basing this on some figment of my imagination," Reid said in a telephone call with Nevada reporters. "I have had a number of people tell me that."

Asked to elaborate on his sources, Reid declined. "No, that's the best you're going to get from me."

"I don't think the burden should be on me," Reid said. "The burden should be on him. He's the one I've alleged has not paid any taxes. Why didn't he release his tax returns?"

A Romney spokesman said Reid's charge was baseless and below the belt.


Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 13:29:49
Quote by Raine:
Harry Reid Doubles down....

"I am not basing this on some figment of my imagination," Reid said in a telephone call with Nevada reporters. "I have had a number of people tell me that."

Asked to elaborate on his sources, Reid declined. "No, that's the best you're going to get from me."

"I don't think the burden should be on me," Reid said. "The burden should be on him. He's the one I've alleged has not paid any taxes. Why didn't he release his tax returns?"

A Romney spokesman said Reid's charge was baseless and below the belt.



in other words - Prove me wrong - come on bring it

Comment by Mondobubba on 08/02/2012 13:38:07
Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 13:40:38
Quote by Mondobubba:
Meanwhile, in Mali...
Well that is random... What brought that up?


Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 13:45:36
actually, they didn't have "marriage" in the Bible

Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 14:05:37
This is a bit nervewracking
The FAA is investigating how three commuter jets narrowly avoided a midair collision near Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport outside the nation's capital.

The Washington Post reports the three planes were operated by US Airways and were carrying 192 passengers and crew members. It cited federal officials with direct knowledge of the incident.


Comment by Mondobubba on 08/02/2012 14:08:00
Quote by Raine:
Quote by Mondobubba:
Meanwhile, in Mali...
Well that is random... What brought that up?



Well we have been all about domestic politics. So I thought I would toss out something happening outside the US that could be Bad.

Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 14:11:09
Quote by Raine:
This is a bit nervewracking
The FAA is investigating how three commuter jets narrowly avoided a midair collision near Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport outside the nation's capital.

The Washington Post reports the three planes were operated by US Airways and were carrying 192 passengers and crew members. It cited federal officials with direct knowledge of the incident.


just another reason for me to refuse to fly out of National (<--true name of airport)


Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 14:40:07
Quote by wickedpam:

just another reason for me to refuse to fly out of National (<--true name of airport)
Yup to the true name.


Comment by Mondobubba on 08/02/2012 15:06:05
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Raine:
This is a bit nervewracking
The FAA is investigating how three commuter jets narrowly avoided a midair collision near Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport outside the nation's capital.

The Washington Post reports the three planes were operated by US Airways and were carrying 192 passengers and crew members. It cited federal officials with direct knowledge of the incident.


just another reason for me to refuse to fly out of National (<--true name of airport)


You sound like Mrs Mondo. She was not a fan either. Me, I like taking my life into my hands when I fly.

That was and will always will be National Airport. Fuck Ronnie The Union Buster Reagan. Naming an airport after him is an insult to everyone of those union ATCs he fired.

Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 15:10:58
Quote by Mondobubba:
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Raine:
This is a bit nervewracking
The FAA is investigating how three commuter jets narrowly avoided a midair collision near Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport outside the nation's capital.

The Washington Post reports the three planes were operated by US Airways and were carrying 192 passengers and crew members. It cited federal officials with direct knowledge of the incident.


just another reason for me to refuse to fly out of National (<--true name of airport)


You sound like Mrs Mondo. She was not a fan either. Me, I like taking my life into my hands when I fly.

That was and will always will be National Airport. Fuck Ronnie The Union Buster Reagan. Naming an airport after him is an insult to everyone of those union ATCs he fired.


flown out of there twice - once when I was too young to realize just how short the runway was and the second when I realized just how close to the river and bridge the planes come in - that was it. Dulles and its crazy people movers are for me


Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 15:11:33
lord, I love Mudcat's accent - its so true Virginian

Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 15:12:18
Quote by wickedpam:
lord, I love Mudcat's accent - its so true Virginian
I was just going to say that!

He is just awesome period.


Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 15:13:20
Quote by wickedpam:
flown out of there twice - once when I was too young to realize just how short the runway was and the second when I realized just how close to the river and bridge the planes come in - that was it. Dulles and its crazy people movers are for me
Isn't La Guardia even shorter?


Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 15:14:08
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
flown out of there twice - once when I was too young to realize just how short the runway was and the second when I realized just how close to the river and bridge the planes come in - that was it. Dulles and its crazy people movers are for me
Isn't La Guardia even shorter?



could be, haven't flown out of La Guardia

Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 15:15:05
Oh! forgot to mention - we finally have our OFA office in Manassas! Since I'm off Monday and Tuesday I may run some homemade snacks up there.

Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 15:16:46
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
lord, I love Mudcat's accent - its so true Virginian
I was just going to say that!

He is just awesome period.



Too bad that race isn't in my district, I would love to have him come to a Manassas Dems meeting, hmmm maybe he still could.... ** scribbles notes for Monday night meeting***

Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 15:18:21
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
lord, I love Mudcat's accent - its so true Virginian
I was just going to say that!

He is just awesome period.



Too bad that race isn't in my district, I would love to have him come to a Manassas Dems meeting, hmmm maybe he still could.... ** scribbles notes for Monday night meeting***
Oh you should TOTALLY try!


Comment by Will in Chicago on 08/02/2012 15:20:53
Good morning, bloggers!! Raine, thanks for a great blog.

I believe that the GOP is now all about political power and serving their backers. So, I don't think that they particularly care if the economy is in ruins.

Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 15:21:09
Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 15:28:53
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
lord, I love Mudcat's accent - its so true Virginian
I was just going to say that!

He is just awesome period.



Too bad that race isn't in my district, I would love to have him come to a Manassas Dems meeting, hmmm maybe he still could.... ** scribbles notes for Monday night meeting***
Oh you should TOTALLY try!



hey EJ (the head of M/MP Dems) asked us to come up with ideas for speaker

Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 15:40:44
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
lord, I love Mudcat's accent - its so true Virginian
I was just going to say that!

He is just awesome period.



Too bad that race isn't in my district, I would love to have him come to a Manassas Dems meeting, hmmm maybe he still could.... ** scribbles notes for Monday night meeting***
Oh you should TOTALLY try!



hey EJ (the head of M/MP Dems) asked us to come up with ideas for speaker
I think Mudcat would be perfect. It really wouldn't hurt to send a nicely worded letter...


Comment by wickedpam on 08/02/2012 15:42:38
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
lord, I love Mudcat's accent - its so true Virginian
I was just going to say that!

He is just awesome period.



Too bad that race isn't in my district, I would love to have him come to a Manassas Dems meeting, hmmm maybe he still could.... ** scribbles notes for Monday night meeting***
Oh you should TOTALLY try!



hey EJ (the head of M/MP Dems) asked us to come up with ideas for speaker
I think Mudcat would be perfect. It really wouldn't hurt to send a nicely worded letter...





Comment by Mondobubba on 08/02/2012 17:17:12
Something I've been meaning to say for the past couple of days about the Chik Fil A day. I've seen some of my right leaning friends on Facebook framing the issue as one involving the First Amendment. Since I didn't feel like teaching a civics leason (again) about how the First Amendment does not cover speach between people, I am choosing to post my thought here. That thought is right winger are really ignorant about how the Constitution the worship really works, aren't they?

Comment by Mondobubba on 08/02/2012 17:19:25
Propublica's great take down of McAffee's claim that cybercrime cost 1 TRILLION dollars a year.

"$1 trillion a year? Seriously? Where the hell did the figure come from? To give you some perspective of size the total US GDP is about 14 trillion and that includes EVERYTHING."


Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 17:33:12
I LOVE GABBY DOUGLAS!

Comment by BobR on 08/02/2012 17:49:51
Quote by Raine:
I LOVE GABBY DOUGLAS!

what did she do?

Comment by Raine on 08/02/2012 19:18:03
Quote by BobR:
Quote by Raine:
I LOVE GABBY DOUGLAS!

what did she do?
She is the best of the best.


Comment by Mondobubba on 08/02/2012 20:54:16
Scoop, the law making your favorite herbal relaxant illegal was passed today in 1937.

Comment by TriSec on 08/03/2012 00:05:24
Evening, folks. your evening roundup. Looks like you needed an av-dork about earlier.

First, it was in "near-miss" territory, but there was no real danger when the planes passed. Two came within 800 feet vertically and 1.4 miles horizontally, while the 3rd plane was safely diverted. (usual minimums are 1,.000 vertical and 2 horizontal)

Runways....

DCA:
1/19 - 7,169 ft
15/33 - 5,204
4/22 - 4,911

LGA:
13/31 - 7,003
4/22 - 7,001


You can get a moderately-loaded 747 off in about 6,000 feet or so, but a full-up load for transoceanic flight is going to be over 10,000 feet on the takeoff run.

For comparison, the longest runway at Dulles is 1R/19L, clocking in at 11,500...while JFK's meatiest runway is 13R/31L at 14,511. They used to operate Concorde off that one.

Finally....both National and La Guardia are pretty much first-generation airports, designed for nothing bigger than a C-47, or the then new DC-4s just coming online. Throw in skyscrapers, other air traffic, and in DC, the overflight restrictions, and you've got a decent pilot's challenge just to get in and out on a clear day.