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A Seismic Shift
Author: BobR    Date: 2017-11-08 14:00:00

For better or worse, elections in non-presidential election years are generally looked upon as a referendum on the incumbent president. That was the case in 2010 when Democrats got trounced in many local, state, and federal elections. This was 2 years into Obama's presidency, and the ACA had just passed with great sturm and drang

Off-off year elections are generally not very closely followed, being that they are state-wide races and such. This year was a little more visible, being that the Commonwealth of VA was electing a new governor, and the the 100 seats in its House of Delegates were up for grabs. New Jersey also elected a new governor.

It's only 10 months into the tRump pResidency, but if this election is to be considered a referendum on our satisfaction with him, he is in deep deep trouble. The purple state of VA went solidly blue.

Considering that the current executive leadership is Democratic, it was the Dem party's to lose, just one year after the presidential election that resulted in tRump taking the White House. Based on the latest ballot results, the Democratic candidate for Governor beat the Republican by 5% points. The races for Lt. Governor and Attorney General followed similarly. That is awesome news. Turnout was pretty good, with about 2.5M votes counted. This is encouraging, considering that there were some pretty nasty ads from the Gillespie campaign, using Lee Atwater-inspired Willie Horton-style ads.

Where the magic really happened, though was the House of Delegates. In the 13th District, the long-time Republican incumbent (Robert Marshall) was soundly defeated (10 points) by newcomer Danica Roem. What makes this sweeter is that Marshall tried to push a "bathroom bill" through the legislature, and Roem is openly transgender. She is the first openly transgender person to become a state delegate in VA.

Statewide, the news is pretty amazing. Although there are a few districts where no one was running against the incumbent (both R and D), there were a number that were contested. For any district where the Democrat was the incumbent, the Democrat won (the Dems didn't lose a single seat). The Republicans, however, lost 15 - count 'em - FIFTEEN seats to the Democrats!! The current House of Delegates in VA had 34 Dems and 66 Reps. By losing 15 seats, the balance will be 49 Dems to 51 Reps, making the VA House of Delegates essentially tied. This is huge - it means that the Commonwealth will be able to move forward. It's a huge repudiation of the tRump mindset, and the voice of a people ready to turn the ship of state around.

Virginia has definitely taken a lead and sent a message to Republicans nationwide that embracing tRump can have devastating results for your re-election plans. If Republicans were stalling on pushing tRump out of office, the voices in VA have spoken. Continue to stall or embrace him at your own risk.

UPDATE (09:31 AM): From Scoopster in the blog comments:

This wave was nationwide. Among some of the other notable races..

- Maine overwhelmingly passed a referendum to override Gov. Paul LePage's repeated vetoes of state expansion of Medicaid.
- Dems won three special elections in Georgia's state Assembly, breaking the GOP's supermajority control.
- Helena, MT elected a new mayor. He is a naturalized citizen from Liberia.
- Manchester, NH elected its first Democratic mayor in 14 years. She's also the first woman to hold the office.
- In Washington state, a single Dem special election victory turned control of the State Senate.
- In Delaware County, PA Dems unexpectedly won two county legislative seats, giving the party a say in county decisions for the first time since the early 80s.
- Hoboken, NJ elected a Sikh mayor.

 

 

 
 

60 comments (Latest Comment: 11/08/2017 23:10:34 by Raine)
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Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:14:34
GOOD MORNING!!!!


I am so happy this morning. I woke up feeling so much better about our future this morning. Better than I have felt in a year.

Comment by wickedpam on 11/08/2017 14:15:45
Morning

Me last night -

https://admin.mashable.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/excited-baby.gif




Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:17:31
From our state delegate when he thought we had 17 seats (we took15 and at least one will be a recount)

Mark Levine:

This will be the biggest Democratic win in Virginia history. The prior record was 13 seats post-Watergate.




Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:19:26
Quote by wickedpam:
Morning

Me last night -

https://admin.mashable.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/excited-baby.gif


I know right?!?!

Comment by Scoopster on 11/08/2017 14:21:58
Mornin' all!

This wave was nationwide. Among some of the other notable races..

- Maine overwhelmingly passed a referendum to override Gov. Paul LePage's repeated vetoes of state expansion of Medicaid.
- Dems won three special elections in Georgia's state Assembly, breaking the GOP's supermajority control.
- Helena, MT elected a new mayor. She is a naturalized citizen from Liberia.
- Manchester, NH elected its first Democratic mayor in 14 years. She's also the first woman to hold the office.
- In Washington state, a single Dem special election victory turned control of the State Senate.
- In Delaware County, PA Dems unexpectedly won two county legislative seats, giving the party a say in county decisions for the first time since the early 80s.
- Hoboken, NJ elected a Sikh mayor.

Comment by Mondobubba on 11/08/2017 14:23:54
Quote by wickedpam:
Morning

Me last night -

https://admin.mashable.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/excited-baby.gif







Comment by wickedpam on 11/08/2017 14:24:35
Quote by Raine:
Quote by wickedpam:
Morning

Me last night -

https://admin.mashable.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/excited-baby.gif


I know right?!?!



Yes! I was so stunned cause at 8:30 I was all "I know its gonna look bad cause its early but let me check MSNBC" and WHAM! Northam declared winner!

THEN I see find out that Roem won with a 10 point lead!!!!!

THEN the cherry on the sundae was Carter beating Miller! I NEVER thought that was in the cards!

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:25:02
Quote by Scoopster:
Mornin' all!

This wave was nationwide. Among some of the other notable races..

- Maine overwhelmingly passed a referendum to override Gov. Paul LePage's repeated vetoes of state expansion of Medicaid.
- Dems won three special elections in Georgia's state Assembly, breaking the GOP's supermajority control.
- Helena, MT elected a new mayor. She is a naturalized citizen from Liberia.
- Manchester, NH elected its first Democratic mayor in 14 years. She's also the first woman to hold the office.
- In Washington state, a single Dem special election victory turned control of the State Senate.
- In Delaware County, PA Dems unexpectedly won two county legislative seats, giving the party a say in county decisions for the first time since the early 80s.
- Hoboken, NJ elected a Sikh mayor.
EVERYTHING IS AWESOME THIS MORNING!


Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:25:22


Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:27:38
Quote by Raine:
From our state delegate when he thought we had 17 seats (we took15 and at least one will be a recount)

Mark Levine:

This will be the biggest Democratic win in Virginia history. The prior record was 13 seats post-Watergate.


Just hear a stat on the Miller show, this is the biggest D pickup since , wait for it:


1899


Comment by Scoopster on 11/08/2017 14:28:21
Oh man.. you remember Rob Astorino, the jackass Westchester county exec in NY who was a MAJOR outspoken fan who was threatening to run against Kirsten Gillibrand?

HE LOST TOO.

Comment by BobR on 11/08/2017 14:31:17
Quote by Scoopster:
Mornin' all!

This wave was nationwide. Among some of the other notable races..

- Maine overwhelmingly passed a referendum to override Gov. Paul LePage's repeated vetoes of state expansion of Medicaid.
- Dems won three special elections in Georgia's state Assembly, breaking the GOP's supermajority control.
- Helena, MT elected a new mayor. She is a naturalized citizen from Liberia.
- Manchester, NH elected its first Democratic mayor in 14 years. She's also the first woman to hold the office.
- In Washington state, a single Dem special election victory turned control of the State Senate.
- In Delaware County, PA Dems unexpectedly won two county legislative seats, giving the party a say in county decisions for the first time since the early 80s.
- Hoboken, NJ elected a Sikh mayor.

Scoop - I am going to update the blog and add these. Thanks!!

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:37:47
Quote by Scoopster:
Oh man.. you remember Rob Astorino, the jackass Westchester county exec in NY who was a MAJOR outspoken fan who was threatening to run against Kirsten Gillibrand?

HE LOST TOO.
Thank you for all of the other GREAT NEWS!

I am still so focused on Virginia and am SO very very happy about all of this amazing news!


Comment by trojanrabbit on 11/08/2017 14:41:51
This is all great news! It gives one reason to hope.

I knew I wouldn't be able to stay awake long last night so I just popped in and out of the TUTN chat. Last night was the first decent night's sleep I've had in a week, strained something in my leg last week and the only position where it didn't hurt was walking.

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:47:03




Comment by Mondobubba on 11/08/2017 14:53:39
Quote by Raine:
Quote by Scoopster:
Mornin' all!

This wave was nationwide. Among some of the other notable races..

- Maine overwhelmingly passed a referendum to override Gov. Paul LePage's repeated vetoes of state expansion of Medicaid.
- Dems won three special elections in Georgia's state Assembly, breaking the GOP's supermajority control.
- Helena, MT elected a new mayor. She is a naturalized citizen from Liberia.
- Manchester, NH elected its first Democratic mayor in 14 years. She's also the first woman to hold the office.
- In Washington state, a single Dem special election victory turned control of the State Senate.
- In Delaware County, PA Dems unexpectedly won two county legislative seats, giving the party a say in county decisions for the first time since the early 80s.
- Hoboken, NJ elected a Sikh mayor.
EVERYTHING IS AWESOME THIS MORNING!





Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:56:34
Quote by Mondobubba:
Quote by Raine:
Quote by Scoopster:
Mornin' all!

This wave was nationwide. Among some of the other notable races..

- Maine overwhelmingly passed a referendum to override Gov. Paul LePage's repeated vetoes of state expansion of Medicaid.
- Dems won three special elections in Georgia's state Assembly, breaking the GOP's supermajority control.
- Helena, MT elected a new mayor. She is a naturalized citizen from Liberia.
- Manchester, NH elected its first Democratic mayor in 14 years. She's also the first woman to hold the office.
- In Washington state, a single Dem special election victory turned control of the State Senate.
- In Delaware County, PA Dems unexpectedly won two county legislative seats, giving the party a say in county decisions for the first time since the early 80s.
- Hoboken, NJ elected a Sikh mayor.
EVERYTHING IS AWESOME THIS MORNING!



INDEED!

I feel like we made a small step back towards normalcy today.

It is not sustaining.


Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 14:57:38
Does everyone now have 280 Twitter characters? I just noticed the I may have them.

Comment by wickedpam on 11/08/2017 14:59:55
Quote by Raine:
Does everyone now have 280 Twitter characters? I just noticed the I may have them.



Got it late yesterday afternoon.

Comment by BobR on 11/08/2017 15:01:30
A friend of mine just posted:

"Sending my thoughts and prayers to Republicans tonight"



Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 15:08:40
Quote by wickedpam:
Quote by Raine:
Does everyone now have 280 Twitter characters? I just noticed the I may have them.



Got it late yesterday afternoon.

Oh, cool!

I hope to not have to use that many characters, I liked the constraints of 140. It made me more concise.

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 15:09:23
Quote by BobR:
A friend of mine just posted:

"Sending my thoughts and prayers to Republicans tonight"




They have to know, that tax bill is seriously in danger.

Comment by BobR on 11/08/2017 15:10:46
Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 15:16:34
Comment by Mondobubba on 11/08/2017 15:47:55
Comment by Scoopster on 11/08/2017 16:05:48
Okay back, done with this month's sales meeting.

And it looks like some people learned nothing from last night.





Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 16:21:33
Quote by Scoopster:
Okay back, done with this month's sales meeting.

And it looks like some people learned nothing from last night.



I hope Maine gets rid of him.


Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 16:37:49
Comment by trojanrabbit on 11/08/2017 16:41:10
Quote by Raine:
Quote by Scoopster:
Okay back, done with this month's sales meeting.

And it looks like some people learned nothing from last night.



I hope Maine gets rid of him.

He's term-limited.

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 16:52:35
Oh this is GUH LOR EE US!!


Published on Monday:

“He’s closed an enthusiasm gap by rallying around the Trump agenda,” Bannon, who was ousted from his White House role and has since gone on to support a slew of anti-establishment candidates, told The New York Times about Gillespie on Sunday. “And I think the big lesson for Tuesday is that, in Gillespie’s case, Trumpism without Trump can show the way forward. If that’s the case, Democrats better be very, very worried.”



Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 16:53:02
Quote by trojanrabbit:
Quote by Raine:
Quote by Scoopster:
Okay back, done with this month's sales meeting.

And it looks like some people learned nothing from last night.



I hope Maine gets rid of him.

He's term-limited.
Ah, well then can't wait till he is gone.


Comment by Scoopster on 11/08/2017 16:59:20
Oops my mistake - the person who won in Helena MT is a man. (I SWEAR there was a picture of a woman with the write-up I read that confused me)

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 16:59:43




Right On Chuck!

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 17:26:42
Oh dear.....

Jumping the gun a little bit, Republican gubernatorial nominee Ed Gillespie (or more specifically, someone on his campaign staff) activated a little-known Twitter feature last night to celebrate his supposed victory.

On a user’s birthday, Twitter will show balloons cascading across their page. It’s cute! Last night, someone set Gillespie’s birthday to election day in order to trigger the balloons on his account. (You can also do this in Twitter’s settings, but note that there is a cap on the frequency with which you can change it. Every day can’t be balloon day, sorry.)


Comment by Scoopster on 11/08/2017 17:45:58
Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 17:54:36
Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 17:56:51

Wow -- so that is what the Foxnooz viereres are believing, huh.

Sure, you guys go with that.....

Comment by wickedpam on 11/08/2017 17:57:02



Omg I started hearing this last night and did a double take when someone called VA a blue state. We're a purple state and that is only a recent development.

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 18:11:50
Who the hell leaked this?!?!

Stunning.

Comment by Scoopster on 11/08/2017 18:20:21
Quote by Raine:
Who the hell leaked this?!?!

Stunning.

Oh wow you're kidding.. this shows up right after I see that the judge ISSUED A GAG ORDER.

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 18:21:45
Quote by Scoopster:
Quote by Raine:
Who the hell leaked this?!?!

Stunning.

Oh wow you're kidding.. this shows up right after I see that the judge ISSUED A GAG ORDER.
SAme thought here!


Comment by livingonli on 11/08/2017 18:40:23
Too cold, too soon for me. I guess this is what happens when the clocks turn back and it's dark at 5 PM. You can tell I don't like this time of year.

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 18:57:48
I just heard them report this on WTOP:






Comment by livingonli on 11/08/2017 19:00:50
Quote by Raine:
I just heard them report this on WTOP:





Which would make Trump happy. Now, I am afraid that Sinclair-Tribune deal might go through and they will find a way to keep all the stations.

Comment by Scoopster on 11/08/2017 19:02:13
Quote by Raine:
I just heard them report this on WTOP:



Wait wha?? This makes no sense, because this Administration is so in bed with corporate interests that it would NEVER stand in the way of a massive merger like this.

Something else is going on that isn't in public view. I'm betting there's some hidden interest looking to buy up CNN.

Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 19:05:08
Quote by Scoopster:
Quote by Raine:
I just heard them report this on WTOP:



Wait wha?? This makes no sense, because this Administration is so in bed with corporate interests that it would NEVER stand in the way of a massive merger like this.

Something else is going on that isn't in public view. I'm betting there's some hidden interest looking to buy up CNN.
They are going after CNN.

this is not good news.


Comment by Raine on 11/08/2017 19:10:46




Comment by Scoopster on 11/08/2017 19:21:13





Comment by BobR on 11/08/2017 19:31:36
Quote by Raine:
Quote by Scoopster:
Quote by Raine:
I just heard them report this on WTOP:



Wait wha?? This makes no sense, because this Administration is so in bed with corporate interests that it would NEVER stand in the way of a massive merger like this.

Something else is going on that isn't in public view. I'm betting there's some hidden interest looking to buy up CNN.
They are going after CNN.

this is not good news.

Yeah - I think it's simply the tRumpies trying to orphan CNN in an attempt to neuter it.