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Patients vs Patients
Author: BobR    Date: 04/22/2020 13:07:35

Amid all the bad news swirling around in the midst of this terrible pandemic, there all the stories of human behavior outside of the life or death struggle of those infected. There are the stories of the healthcare workers grueling 12 hour days fighting a losing battle in overcrowded and under-equipped wards. There are the people in NYC who - at 7:00 PM every night - lean our their windows to cheer on those same workers. There are the volunteers who help feed the homeless and the helpless and the poor.

And then... there are the idiots. You know who I'm talking about. They're the ones driving around governors' mansions and hospitals, demanding that "stay at home" orders be lifted, so they can get haircuts and other - you know - basic human necessities. There are some (especially in VA) trying to somehow tie these life-preserving tactics to an imaginary drive to take away their guns. It's pathetic... surreal... dangerous.

It's mostly democratic governors, because they are less likely to tow the tRump line, and more likely to believe what scientists are telling them. They are asking VP Pence for help dealing with the naysayers, and for some support. Naturally, that puts Pence between reality and crazy cuckoo tRumpy who seems to be encouraging armed revolt in these states. It's not just democratic governors, though. In MD, republican governor Larry Hogan incurred tRump's wrath by doing what tRump said he should do - find his own solution. tRump - the brainless narcissist - had the gall to paint Hogan as "clueless". More projection...

There is some light on the horizon. Computer models project when states might be able to start easing restrictions - but it should be noted this does NOT mean a return to "normal". It means easing, which might be a difficult distinction for tRump and his supporters who tend to "think" in a more binary fashion.

https://cdn.geekwire.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/200421-map.jpg


What happens, though, if we ease the restrictions too soon, or ease them too much? There's a lesson to be learned in Scandinavia. Sweden did not implement any restrictions at all, and its death rate is 10 times as high as neighboring countries:
Sweden — which has yet to order any lockdown amid the novel coronavirus pandemic — has seen 14,777 COVID-19 cases and 1,580 deaths from the virus so far.

The virus has been nearly 10 times as deadly as in Sweden than in other Nordic countries.

Norway, which has half as many people as Sweden, has seen 7,127 cases and just 181 deaths. Finland, which has a population similar to Norway's, has seen 3,868 COVID-19 cases and 94 deaths.

[...]

Sweden has yet to order any lockdowns amid the novel coronavirus pandemic, according to AFP. The country has left schools, restaurants, and gyms open, and while the government banned gatherings over 50 people and urged residents to self-isolate, life appears to be largely unchanged.

Sweden's lack of strict lockdowns contrasts sharply with the rest of Europe, and it has yet to see a downturn in COVID-19 cases. The country — which has a population of about 10.2 million — has seen 15,322 cases and 1,765 deaths from the virus so far, making the death rate per capita at 17.3 deaths per 100,000 people.

Norway, which has nearly 5.4 million people, has seen 7,191 cases and 182 deaths, with a death rate per capita at 3.37 deaths per 100,000 people. Finland, with a population of 5.5 million, has seen 4,014 COVID-19 cases and 141 deaths, with a death rate per capita at 2.56 deaths per 100,000 people.

The article goes on to say that America's rate is 13.1 deaths per 100K people. That reflects our haphazard (and late) approach to dealing with the contagion. There is an argument to be made that the virus will spread with or without the lockdowns and social distancing - but it will take longer and have a more prolonged economic impact with the precautions in place. As we've seen in NYC, the problem with a spike in cases is a lack of hospital beds, ventilators, etc. While spreading it out may hurt the economy more, it provides a greater chance of saving the lives of those infected.

So that leaves us with the argument - what matters most to you: people's live or the economy?

 
 
 

7 comments (Latest Comment: 04/22/2020 19:52:26 by TriSec)
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