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It's Getting Interesting
Author: BobR
Date: 01/17/2024 13:51:34
We are now officially into the 2024 presidential race. The Iowa caucus has occurred, and the large number of candidates running for the nomination is essentially down to three, with the suspension of Christie's and Ramaswamy's campaigns. It appears that Christie may be supporting Nikki Haley (while privately saying she has no chance), and Ramaswamy has vowed to fight for tRumpy (i.e.: he's hoping to be the veep candidate).
The "tRump-itization" of the Republican party is causing problems for them, however. As seen on Colbert last night, and Rachel Maddow's show on MSNBC, Republican parties in several states are running out of money just as the election season starts to ramp up:
Add to this, the GOP already lost a seat in the Florida state House to a Democrat as part of a special election. That Democrat - Tom Keen - will need to defend that seat in November, but there's no telling at this point who will run against him.
None of this is really being noticed, due to all the noise in Iowa. There's a lot of pontificating about tRump's "landslide" win, but there's a lot of other things to consider beneath the shiny surface, including the reality that the "landslide win" was barely over 50%, with the slightly less than 50% vote being "not tRump". There's also Nikki Haley, who will outlast DeathSantis and be the primary challenger to tRump, pulling in Republicans who are sick of tRumpy.
On top of that, there's the looming reality of tRumpy's legal situation. Per the Rachel Maddow Show, one-third of republicans in Iowa think a convicted criminal shouldn't be president. Rachel seems pretty certain he'll be convicted.
That will be a historic moment, if/when he's convicted, while being the candidate for the Republican party. He's already being excluded from the ballet in 3 states; a conviction could bounce him from several more, and set up a constitutional crisis that will need to be adjudicated by the SCOTUS.
You wanted to live in "interesting times"? You got it.
The "tRump-itization" of the Republican party is causing problems for them, however. As seen on Colbert last night, and Rachel Maddow's show on MSNBC, Republican parties in several states are running out of money just as the election season starts to ramp up:
There are two competitive House seats on the line as Republicans are looking to defend their slim majority in the lower chamber next year. Not to mention, Arizona is going to be a major swing state in the 2024 presidential election. But the state GOP has just over $23,000 in cash on hand in its federal account, according to federal filings, and roughly $144,000 according to their Q2 state filing.
[...]
If it makes Arizona Republicans feel any better, it’s not completely alone. The Detroit News reported two weeks ago, for example, that the Michigan GOP’s latest filing showed it had about $93,000 in its bank accounts — a total party insiders characterized as “alarming.”
Around the same time, The Daily Beast reported that the Minnesota GOP’s latest Federal Election Commission filing said it had less than $54 cash on hand.
What’s more, in May, The Colorado Sun reported that the GOP in the Rocky Mountain State was facing a financial crunch so serious that it “didn’t pay any employees.” The deputy chief of staff for the Colorado House GOP soon after characterized the state party as “bankrupt” and unable to afford rent payment on the party’s offices.
Add to this, the GOP already lost a seat in the Florida state House to a Democrat as part of a special election. That Democrat - Tom Keen - will need to defend that seat in November, but there's no telling at this point who will run against him.
None of this is really being noticed, due to all the noise in Iowa. There's a lot of pontificating about tRump's "landslide" win, but there's a lot of other things to consider beneath the shiny surface, including the reality that the "landslide win" was barely over 50%, with the slightly less than 50% vote being "not tRump". There's also Nikki Haley, who will outlast DeathSantis and be the primary challenger to tRump, pulling in Republicans who are sick of tRumpy.
On top of that, there's the looming reality of tRumpy's legal situation. Per the Rachel Maddow Show, one-third of republicans in Iowa think a convicted criminal shouldn't be president. Rachel seems pretty certain he'll be convicted.
That will be a historic moment, if/when he's convicted, while being the candidate for the Republican party. He's already being excluded from the ballet in 3 states; a conviction could bounce him from several more, and set up a constitutional crisis that will need to be adjudicated by the SCOTUS.
You wanted to live in "interesting times"? You got it.
