Phoenix - In a sign of continued weakness in his home state, an online poll shows Sen. John McCain trailing Sen. Barack Obama by 3-percentage points in Arizona. The poll also shows the candidacy of Liberterian Bob Barr is having a significant impact on McCain's campaign by siphoning off conservative voters nationwide.
The Arizona poll was part of nationwide Zogby International poll that put Obama ahead in total electoral votes with 273 to 160 for McCain. The poll found 11 states with 105 electoral votes too close to call -- including Arizona. McCain's campaign in June included Arizona among its list of swing states.
McCain not only faced problems with Independent voters, he is losing a small, but potentially lethal voting block of the GOP right to Barr. The former Republican congressman from Georgia is pulling just enough voters in many states to shift the balance to Obama. Whether this bloc will remain in Barr's camp on election day could determine the outcome.
"Barr is hurting McCain all across the country," said Fritz Wenzel, director of communications for Zogby.
The Zogby poll of 1,142 likely Arizona voters was conducted June 11-30, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The survey found Obama leading in Arizona with 42 percent of the vote, followed by McCain with 39 percent. Barr had 7 percent, followed by Independent Ralph Nader with 2 percent. Five percent of the voters selected other candidates and 5 percent were undecided.
Wenzel said 16 percent of Arizona voters who described themselves as very conservative said they would vote for Barr, with 64 percent backing McCain. The double-digit defection to Barr signals further trouble ahead for Arizona's senior Senator.
"That's very dangerous for a Republican candidate," Wentzel said.
...Perhaps Barr can make up for voter apathy among civil Libertarians by courting disenchanted conservatives unwilling to vote for John McCain. Barr’s stances on taxation, for example, have been more consistently “conservative” than McCain’s, and it would not be surprising if economic conservatives began favoring Barr for that reason.
Barr will face a second obstacle — ballot access regulations, which vary from state to state. These regulate which names appear on ballots (or, more often the case, which do not). The U.S. Constitution, under Article I, Section IV, grants states autonomy to choose where, when, and how to carry out federal elections. This power, although rightly granted to states, has led to more restrictions than freedoms. States often (mis)use this power to deter “frivolous” candidacies and, in doing so, threaten some of the most treasured privileges of American citizenship: the right of citizens to run for political office, to form political parties, and to petition the government.
Libertarians will not attain ballot access in all fifty states because restrictions are simply too onerous; they may hope for write-in votes, but those never win elections (unless you are Strom Thurmond). Besides, Republican Ron Paul is more likely to attract Libertarian write-ins even though he has formally left the race.
Not just libertarians, but politicians from all constellations of belief should have access to the voters — and the voters to them. That is the way of democracy. Pay attention as Libertarians seek petition signatures to overcome ballot access restrictions. Put aside your opinions of Libertarians or of Barr and consider what participatory democracy means to you. And then, if you live in one of the twenty states where Libertarians have yet to attain ballot access, sign a petition. Show that you’re for free and open elections. That is the best option, “Barr” none.
Quote by velveeta jones:
Morning! Great post TriSec. I wish Bob Barr well. For selfish reasons to be sure, but also for the hope of viable 3rd parties in the future.
Off to work. Have a great day ya'll.
Velveeta is back! Blog tomorrow! WoHOOOO. (maybe) :blink:
Quote by livingonli:
Headline News is just reporting that Tony Snow has died. It does seem to prove suspicions that the cancer was worse than he was letting on. Not much love for him as a lying opportunist for the Bush administration but still not a good way to go.
Quote by BobR:
Being from GA, I've had my fill of Bob Barr (and Newt Gingrich... and Zell Miller while we're at it). I don't know what it is about the Peach State that produces so many powerful yet insane politicians, but if someone figures it out, let me know so I can try to put a stop to it.
Perhaps the one good thing this election will do for the future (other than put Obama in the White House) is to make the Libertarian party more viable for future elections. We were having this discussion last night, that unlike candidates like Ralph Nader and Ross Perot who are more about vanity (and cult of personality) than party, the Libertarian party is at least respectable, entrenched, organized, and focused on more than just the presidential election every 4 years.
Next time, however, I would like to see them pick a candidate that isn't so right-wing and sleazy...
I am going to concentrate on what's important in life. I'm going to strive everyday to be a kind and generous and loving person. I'm going to keep death right here, so that anytime I even think about getting angry at you or anybody else, I'll see death and I'll remember.
~ Diane Frolov and Andrew Schneider, Northern Exposure, Do The Right Thing, 1992
Quote by TriSec:
Honestly, I know little about Bob Barr. But I've followed Ron Paul for years. He's two politicians, as far as I'm concerned. I love his foreign policy and international relationship positions...Indeed he is very libertarian in that regard. Domestically though...I knew very little about until he became a 'real' candidate and I started paying attention. He does have some small ideas in that area that might work...but it's his big ideas (particularly around the Federal Reserve and the Dollar) that are downright frightening.
Quote by capt:
Really?
Running the author of the DOMA as libertarian makes the liberatarians more focused?
That just seems confused, unfocused and a MAJOR sellout to me.
No viable thrid party can be built on Bob Barr or the racist Paul.
Do you really think Bob Barr or Ron Paul are liber-anything?
Quote by TriSec:
Honestly, I know little about Bob Barr. But I've followed Ron Paul for years. He's two politicians, as far as I'm concerned. I love his foreign policy and international relationship positions...Indeed he is very libertarian in that regard. Domestically though...I knew very little about until he became a 'real' candidate and I started paying attention. He does have some small ideas in that area that might work...but it's his big ideas (particularly around the Federal Reserve and the Dollar) that are downright frightening.
Quote by capt:
Good Morning
Excellent post and good insights.
Bob Barr is an a**hole and I hope he hurts McCain, other than that he can go away. He was against the Patriot act but he has no good character. He has proven that over and over.
Ron Paul is a racist a**hole and a lying opportunist.
Neither embodies the hopes and dreams of any real libertarians.
The libertarian movement has become an insult to the goal the movement once held.
I can't take the movement seriously when they run people that are obviously not libertarians. I mean really? Bob Barr? (hold a picture of Bob next to Armstrong Williams - separated at birth?)
*****
On a scary note, I didn't want to comment on it last night -Indymac Bank - the largest Bank failure in history $32.01 billion FDIC regulators took over yesterday. The reason they had to step in was a $1.3 billion run on the bank.
Expect to see more of this . . .
Quote by BobR:Quote by capt:
Really?
Running the author of the DOMA as libertarian makes the liberatarians more focused?
That just seems confused, unfocused and a MAJOR sellout to me.
No viable thrid party can be built on Bob Barr or the racist Paul.
Do you really think Bob Barr or Ron Paul are liber-anything?
The Libertarian party has been running candidates in local elections and presidential elections for decades. They are not a fly-by-night (or fly every 4 years) organization. Bob Barr is Libertarian in the protection of privacy (and keeping government out of our personal lives) sense. He wasn't always that way, but in the last few years, yes.
That doesn't make him any less of a scumbag, but he can certainly be classified as a conservative Libertarian. I agree that the party sold out some of its credibility to gain some visibility this year. That hasn't always been the case.
I never mentioned Ron Paul - I know he was once a member of the party, but I don't believe he is officially connected to the party this year. I've read some of the racist screeds that were in the newsletters that came from his supporter organization. He denies writing or advocating them, but he certainly didn't try to stop them, knowing they carried his name on the letterhead.
I think Paul's contribution to this presidential election has been to remind people that there is an alternative to the Republican party, or at least what the party has become since 1994. He's acted as a catalyst or a conduit for the Libertarian party, which is healthy.
Quote by Raine:Good morning everyone!Quote by capt:
Good Morning
Excellent post and good insights.
Bob Barr is an a**hole and I hope he hurts McCain, other than that he can go away. He was against the Patriot act but he has no good character. He has proven that over and over.
Ron Paul is a racist a**hole and a lying opportunist.
Neither embodies the hopes and dreams of any real libertarians.
The libertarian movement has become an insult to the goal the movement once held.
I can't take the movement seriously when they run people that are obviously not libertarians. I mean really? Bob Barr? (hold a picture of Bob next to Armstrong Williams - separated at birth?)
*****
On a scary note, I didn't want to comment on it last night -Indymac Bank - the largest Bank failure in history $32.01 billion FDIC regulators took over yesterday. The reason they had to step in was a $1.3 billion run on the bank.
Expect to see more of this . . .
Capt, (and everyone else) I posted this story over on the message board in the Economy section... There is also another story in the same post... you may want to check it out.
Quote by capt:
If he didn't write them, read his original defense HERE. (Paul, a Republican obstetrician from Surfside, said Wednesday he opposes racism and that his written commentaries about blacks came in the context of ""current events and statistical reports of the time.") no ghost writer, no mistake, no excuse.
He has zero credibility IMO.
Bob Barr is even worse.
NBD - I just hate it when people defend the indefensible.
Maybe it is just me. . . .
Quote by BobR:Quote by capt:
If he didn't write them, read his original defense HERE. (Paul, a Republican obstetrician from Surfside, said Wednesday he opposes racism and that his written commentaries about blacks came in the context of ""current events and statistical reports of the time.") no ghost writer, no mistake, no excuse.
He has zero credibility IMO.
Bob Barr is even worse.
NBD - I just hate it when people defend the indefensible.
Maybe it is just me. . . .
Are you accusing me of defending Bob Barr and/or Ron Paul? I already gave you my opinions of them. I'm just trying to provide some persepctive beyond "they suck" with regards to their effect on this election.
Jaysus... :rolleyes2:
Quote by capt:
I can't get on the message board?
Quote by Raine:It is a separate registration, Click the *Forum* button on the top of the screen.Quote by capt:
I can't get on the message board?
Seven Republican Members of House Judiciary Call for Impeachment out of Duty to the Constitution?
GOP Reps. Smith, Sensenbrenner, Coble, Gallegly, Goodlatte, Chabot, and Cannon after much deliberation put the Constitution and rule of law before politics. Rep. Lamar Smith stated, “As much as one might wish to avoid this process, we must resist the temptation to close our eyes and pass by. The president's actions must be evaluated for one simple reason: the truth counts.”
[note: please read full article for a complete understanding. short on time? skim 'til you get to the end]
[... The following are the complete statements...]
The statements above are excerpts from transcripts of the House Judiciary Committee's impeachment hearings. December 10-11, 1998. Each congressman is a current member of the House Judiciary Committee.
Quote by Raine:
Speaking of BJ's and the *good ol' days...:sarcasm: This one came from OpEd News...Seven Republican Members of House Judiciary Call for Impeachment out of Duty to the Constitution?
GOP Reps. Smith, Sensenbrenner, Coble, Gallegly, Goodlatte, Chabot, and Cannon after much deliberation put the Constitution and rule of law before politics. Rep. Lamar Smith stated, “As much as one might wish to avoid this process, we must resist the temptation to close our eyes and pass by. The president's actions must be evaluated for one simple reason: the truth counts.”
[note: please read full article for a complete understanding. short on time? skim 'til you get to the end]
[... The following are the complete statements...]
The statements above are excerpts from transcripts of the House Judiciary Committee's impeachment hearings. December 10-11, 1998. Each congressman is a current member of the House Judiciary Committee.
Go, peruse those statement, and then. I recommend sending of an email to them, quoting them and thier words. Bobb Barr is not holding office anymore, these F*ckers are.
Quote by Random:
Am i the only one who is unsure of how to view Snow's death?
Quote by Random:
Am i the only one who is unsure of how to view Snow's death?
Quote by livingonli:Quote by Raine:
Speaking of BJ's and the *good ol' days...:sarcasm: This one came from OpEd News...Seven Republican Members of House Judiciary Call for Impeachment out of Duty to the Constitution?
GOP Reps. Smith, Sensenbrenner, Coble, Gallegly, Goodlatte, Chabot, and Cannon after much deliberation put the Constitution and rule of law before politics. Rep. Lamar Smith stated, “As much as one might wish to avoid this process, we must resist the temptation to close our eyes and pass by. The president's actions must be evaluated for one simple reason: the truth counts.”
[note: please read full article for a complete understanding. short on time? skim 'til you get to the end]
[... The following are the complete statements...]
The statements above are excerpts from transcripts of the House Judiciary Committee's impeachment hearings. December 10-11, 1998. Each congressman is a current member of the House Judiciary Committee.
Go, peruse those statement, and then. I recommend sending of an email to them, quoting them and thier words. Bobb Barr is not holding office anymore, these F*ckers are.
As "Conservatives Without Conscience" pointed out, it's power and party before principal. They only give a damn about alleged Constitutional abuses, if they want to get rid of a Democratic politican. But anything goes if you're a Republican.
Maybe these fuckers should be in jail with the war criminals Bush and Cheney that they have enabled.
Quote by capt:Quote by Random:
Am i the only one who is unsure of how to view Snow's death?
For me it is about one notch from being the same consideration I had for Helms. . .
I hope he was loved by his family and friends 'cause I have the luxury of total indifference from a distance.
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Quote by Random:
Am i the only one who is unsure of how to view Snow's death?
Summary: Media Matters for America presents a compilation of false and misleading claims advanced by Tony Snow -- a Fox News Radio host, Fox News guest host and commentator, and former speechwriter to President George H.W. Bush -- who is reportedly being considered by the White House to replace outgoing press secretary Scott McClellan.
Quote by Raine:
Summary: Guest-hosting The Radio Factor, Tony Snow falsely claimed that "since he's been in the United States Senate, [Sen. Barack Obama] has voted present more often than any other member of the Senate." Snow also asserted that Obama "has described Jeremiah Wright as one of his key political advisers, and he said that he didn't make any key political decision without consulting him." In fact, Obama has stated that Wright "has never been my political advisor; he's been my pastor."
Quote by Raine:
Snow was no helms, nor falwell... at least not to me. I will hold other comments in my thought bubble. When Bob told me this this morning, I was sad, to tell you the truth. Not becuase I liked his actions, but becuase I truly hoped that he would get better from a devastating disease.
I hope he rests in peace.
Quote by Raine:
So what do y'all think? According to this Blogger, B*sh never invoked Executive Priveledge for kkKarl Rove...
Who, like the WMD's, still hasn't been found.
Quote by capt:
Best one yet!
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