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Is the messsage recieved?
Author: Raine
Date: 05/25/2011 12:45:34
Yesterday, the Dems won a seat in the House of Representatives, NY-26. It was the seat vacated by Representative Chris Lee, also known as the shirtless Craigslist guy. It should be noted that this is a heavily Republican-leaning district and has only had 3 or 4 Democrats representing it since the 1870s
Is this a referendum on the Paul Ryan Medicare plan? Most analysts say so.Many people believe that this is backlash. People LIKE Medicare regardless of political affiliation Just don't tell the GOP that. The fact is that a Tea Party candidate was in the race and took 8% of the vote - enough to split the race and hand the victory to a Democrat.
You see, suddenly Eric Cantor considers the Tea Party the *Other*. I wonder if anyone will pick up on that. Eric Cantor, Paul Ryan and many others helped to create the very monster that allowed this district to go Democratic. Now that they appear to be a liability, they are just a third party. Nothing to see here; Move along.
Nate Silver writes: This is a district that will probably be split in two since NY is losing 2 seats, but until 2012, we have one more voice fighting for Medicare and for the things that Democrats support.
As the GOP shows more and more how much it disdains people, as Eric Cantor did yesterday, saying people are waking up to this nonsense. The GOP does NOT love the Tea Party; they are just using them for populist fodder. It's smoke-and-mirrors to shove a corporate agenda down American throats.
That is a good thing. As I always say: elections matter. I regret that we still have a year and a half to go before we get the change to make things change, but things are looking up as we wallow in the briny mess that the House of Representatives has made.
Congratulations to the people of NY-26, and thank-you for making the right choice.
and 
Raine
Is this a referendum on the Paul Ryan Medicare plan?
With 75% of precincts reporting, Democrat Kathy Hochul was leading Republican Jane Corwin 48% to 42%, with the tea party candidate Jack Davis getting 8%, and news outlets were calling the race for the Democrat.
"This race is about the fact that it's a three-way race," Cantor told reporters. "I do not think it can be seen as a signal as to the role of the budget reforms that we have proposed, including Medicare."
Republicans could take some solace from the fact that it was a three-way race, making it a more ambiguous indicator than a pure head-to-head contest.
But it couldn’t be anything other than unsettling for Republicans to lose what had been a GOP seat since Jack Kemp held it in the 1970s.
You see, suddenly Eric Cantor considers the Tea Party the *Other*. I wonder if anyone will pick up on that. Eric Cantor, Paul Ryan and many others helped to create the very monster that allowed this district to go Democratic. Now that they appear to be a liability, they are just a third party. Nothing to see here; Move along.
Nate Silver writes:
That would still qualify as a bad night for the Republicans, however. Based on the way that the district votes in presidential elections, it is 6 percentage points more Republican than the country as a whole. That means, roughly speaking, that in a neutral political environment with average candidates, Ms. Corwin would have won 56 percent of the vote and Ms. Hochul 44 percent — a 12-point victory. A 2-point win instead, therefore, would have spoken to a relatively poor political environment for the Republicans.
As the GOP shows more and more how much it disdains people, as Eric Cantor did yesterday, saying
House Majority Leader Eric Cantor said Monday that if Congress passes an emergency spending bill to help Missouri’s tornado victims, the extra money will have to be cut from somewhere else.
“If there is support for a supplemental, it would be accompanied by support for having pay-fors to that supplemental,” Mr. Cantor, Virginia Republican, told reporters at the Capitol. The term “pay-fors” is used by lawmakers to signal cuts or tax increases used to pay for new spending.
That is a good thing. As I always say: elections matter. I regret that we still have a year and a half to go before we get the change to make things change, but things are looking up as we wallow in the briny mess that the House of Representatives has made.
Congratulations to the people of NY-26, and thank-you for making the right choice.
and Raine
