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Civil War
Author: TriSec    Date: 01/25/2014 11:51:39

Good Morning.

I've got a double today - I'm off for a snowshoe walk with the Bean this morning, then I'm headed directly to BSA Camp Sayre in the Blue Hills to work on some Woodbadge training.

But before I do, I have two brief stories about Civil War. We'll start almost 8,000 miles from where I sit on a little island called Mindanao. Most people have never heard of the place, but you should all recognize the name from me - it is my true ancestral homeland, as Grandpa Mac left there as a young man for the West Coast about a century ago.


For nearly 40 years, a group called the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (or, "MILF", which is another story) has been battling successive governments of the Philippines for autonomy. This conflict is the reason why we didn't make the attempt to go south when we were in the islands in 2002. But at long last, it seems like there has finally been a breakthrough.


KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia (AP) — The Philippine government and the country's largest Muslim rebel group completed talks Saturday on a deal to end four decades of fighting that has killed tens of thousands of people and helped foster Islamic extremism in Southeast Asia.

The accord between Filipino negotiators and the rebel Moro Islamic Liberation Front calls for Muslim self-rule in parts of the southern Philippines in exchange for the deactivation of the rebel force. Military presence in the proposed autonomous region would be restricted.

Much now will depend on how the accord is enforced, in particular whether the 11,000-strong rebel forces are able to maintain security in areas they would come under their control. At least four other smaller Muslim rebel groups are still fighting Manila's rule in the southern Mindanao region, and could act as spoilers.

Officials from both sides announced the conclusion of talks in Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia, which has brokered the yearslong negotiations. The accord and three other pacts signed last year make up a final peace agreement that is to be signed in the Philippine capital, Manila, possibly next month, presidential spokesman Edwin Lacierda said.

"This will give the just and lasting peace that our brothers in Mindanao are seeking." said Lacierda, referring to the volatile southern region and homeland of minority Muslims in the predominantly Roman Catholic nation.

Government negotiators, some teary-eyed, embraced each other after the conclusion of the talks. Chief government negotiator Miriam Ferrer hailed the progress and said "good luck to everyone on the next stage, the implementation stage."

Saturday's accord marks the most significant progress during 13 years of on-and-off negotiations with the Moro fighters to tame a tenacious insurgency that has left more than 120,000 people dead and derailed development in Muslim-populated southern regions that are among the most destitute in the Philippines.

The United States and other Western governments have supported the talks, worried that rebel strongholds could become breeding grounds for al-Qaida-linked extremists who have sought sanctuary in the region in the past.

Under the peace deal, the Moro insurgents agreed to end violence in exchange for broader autonomy. An existing five-province Muslim autonomous region is to be replaced by a more powerful, better-funded and potentially larger region to be called Bangsamoro.

Despite the milestone, both the government and the rebels acknowledged that violence would not end overnight in a region that has long grappled with a volatile mix of crushing poverty, huge numbers of illegal firearms, clan wars and weak law enforcement.


I would suppose that the point is, talking will eventually work. It might take years, it might take several false starts, and it might take a superpower making threats, but it happened and it worked. But because this one is so remote, it's almost a special-interest story, and few people will take notice.

Leaping many thousands of miles to a conflict that has been in the headlines every day, we find a large contrast to the above story. Peace talks have haltingly started surrounding the civil war in Syria. It's not gone well; the snippets of news that I've seen out of the negotiations seem to indicated that both sides are doing little more than talking at each other instead of with each other - it's been a lot of grandstanding and public posturing. I've come to find out that they're not even in the same room; thus far there have been no face-to-face meetings, but they expect the first one to happen today in Geneva. I suppose it is progress.


GENEVA — The participants in the fragile Syrian peace conference agreed on Friday to meet in the same room for the first time, in a last ditch agreement that averted a potential collapse.

The two sides were expected to spend much of Saturday trying to agree on a cease-fire to allow aid to reach areas long blockaded by the government in the central city of Homs, according to a Western diplomat who said the aim was to score “a quick win” for the talks.

The government delegation had threatened to leave if the Saturday meeting could not be arranged, while the opposition complained that the government side was not fully committed to the framework of the talks.

After a day of frantic negotiations, however, the United Nations special envoy to the talks announced at a news briefing that the two sides had agreed to meet. “Tomorrow we expect, and we’ve agreed, that we will meet in the same room,” the envoy, Lakhdar Brahimi, told reporters.

Government and opposition delegates are to meet in the morning to discuss an agenda, sitting at tables facing one another but addressing their remarks to Mr. Brahimi, said the Western diplomat, who spoke on the condition of anonymity in accordance with protocol. When they move to substantial issues, they may withdraw to separate rooms, with Mr. Brahimi shuttling back and forth in what are known as proximity talks, the diplomat added.

The two sides agreed to the meeting “under Russian and American pressure,” said a member of the opposition, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss confidential talks. He said they had also agreed to stay “at least a week” and to “get right to the point,” with the first order of business being an attempt to organize some kind of cease-fire as a confidence-building measure.

Russia and the United States are the prime sponsors of the talks, with the Russians backing the Syrian government and the Americans backing the opposition, and both have staked their prestige on the meeting.


I've never had any kind of negotiations even approaching the rarefied air that these two are taking place in. But I expect a brief, conciliatory meeting today with my giant, rightwing, toolfriend...he's one of our course mentors for this spring's Woodbadge, and he's the guy that talked me into taking it in the first place. I am going to have to work with him this spring whether I like it or not. But, the point here is that somebody has to take that first step.

It all goes back to a quote about compromise that I heard a while back...and I wish I could remember what Congressman said it now.

"If we're five steps apart on an issue, I'll take three steps towards you. Hell, I'll even take four. But goddamn it if I'm taking all five!"
 

6 comments (Latest Comment: 01/26/2014 15:23:54 by Raine)
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