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Author: TriSec    Date: 09/15/2009 10:41:52

Good Morning.

Today is our 2,194th day in Iraq.

We'll start this morning as we always do, with the latest casualty figures from Iraq and Afghanistan, courtesy of antiwar.com:

American Deaths
Since war began (3/19/03): 4344
Since "Mission Accomplished" (5/1/03): 4205
Since Capture of Saddam (12/13/03): 3881
Since Handover (6/29/04): 3485
Since Obama Inauguration (1/20/09): 116

Other Coalition Troops - Iraq: 325
US Military Deaths - Afghanistan: 829
Other Military Deaths - Afghanistan: 556
Contractor Employee Deaths - Iraq: 1,395
Journalists - Iraq: 331
Academics Killed - Iraq: 423


We find this morning's cost of war passing through:

$ 909, 603, 100, 000. 00


And the irony is not lost on me today that it's 9 billion...isn't that just about what healthcare reform would cost?



Turning our attention to Afghanistan today, we can perhaps take a small measure of pride in the fact that here George Bush did what he said he was going to; democracy has come to this little corner of the world. After all, they just had an election, right?

A funny thing happened along the way. Democracy is meaningless to the ordinary Afghan in the street. Didn't someone state that we needed to win the hearts and minds of ordinary citizens in order to win the war? If they're asking What has democracy done for me? then we've probably already lost.


Mubaruz Khan didn't bother to vote when Afghans went to the polls in the country's second-ever democratic election last month. He was too busy eking out a living selling cigarettes and soda for $3 a day, and didn't think voting would make a difference in his life.

Millions like Khan stayed home on Aug. 20, a sharp contrast to 2004, when Afghans jammed polling stations to give President Hamid Karzai his first term. Ominous warnings from the Taliban suppressed turnout, but some Afghans said they were also discouraged by the government's failure to halt endemic corruption, spiraling unemployment and crumbling security.

"We want peace. We want security. We want job opportunities," the 55-year-old Khan said Monday. "Otherwise, the democracy and the elections that they are all shouting about every day mean nothing to us."

Nearly a month after Afghanistan voted, the election's messy aftermath has exposed the difficulties of installing a Western-style democracy in a land that has never seen one — and raised questions over whether an electoral system can take root eight years after the U.S.-led invasion that ended Taliban's radical Islamist rule.

The country's election commission originally hoped to declare a certified winner this week, but claims of ballot-stuffing and phantom voters have pushed that timeline back weeks, if not months, leaving the country in political limbo at a time the Taliban is unleashing a record number of attacks. Thousands of fake ballots were submitted across the country, and many returns showed Karzai winning 100 percent of the vote in some districts.

The latest partial count has Karzai leading with 54 percent to leading challenger Abdullah Abdullah's 28 percent, and a full count was expected later this week. If enough votes are eliminated for fraud complaints, Karzai's tally could fall below the 50-percent threshold, forcing a two-man runoff.

In a country dominated by tribal and ethnic loyalties — and scarred by years of civil war and Taliban rule — it's not yet clear if democracy will take hold.




Of course, part of the problem is the election itself. The Presidential vote in Afghanistan was on August 20, but did you know they haven't declared a winner yet? You won't be finding much about it in the US media, but here is one story, apparently via a Seattle newspaper.


KABUL -- The leading challenger in Afghanistan's national elections warned Monday that if President Hamid Karzai wins another term based on a fraudulent vote, the U.S.-led war against al-Qaida and the Taliban in Afghanistan will fail.

"We will have a vacuum of power, security and stability," Abdullah Abdullah told McClatchy Newspapers. "Five years of illegitimate rule cannot be sustained by more troops or more resources."

Abdullah was the runner-up in the Aug. 20 presidential election that Karzai won, according to disputed initial tallies. Evidence of widespread fraud, however, has put a cloud over the outcome, which has yet to be announced. Abdullah, an ophthalmologist-turned-politician, is hoping that that fraud investigations will strip enough votes from Karzai to force a runoff either this autumn or after the snow clears in the spring.

Abdullah said Western publics are unlikely to tolerate a political outcome based on fraud. He said the Western nations already are paying "to maintain this corrupt government" and have to justify their presence before their own people. "It's not like Western governments can cheat their own populations forever," he said.

A Karzai spokesman on Monday said that Abdullah's comments reflect a candidate who fears defeat and who is now trying to undermine the Afghan electoral system.

Once an international emissary for the United Front, an anti-Taliban alliance, Abdullah received strong support in northern Afghanistan provinces that from 1996 to 2001 served as a stronghold for the Front, also known as the Northern Alliance.

Some of the main supply routes for U.S. and NATO troops in Afghanistan run through Northern Alliance strongholds, and so does some of the country's electrical grid. Many Western officials are concerned that Abdullah supporters might block some of the routes or take control of the infrastructure if Karzai declares himself the winner of the elections.

The issue has also drawn the attention of top tier officials in the State Department as President Barack Obama deliberates future U.S. troop levels for Afghanistan. On Monday, a U.S. Embassy spokeswoman denied a McClatchy weekend report that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton called Karzai last week to urge that the fraud standards not be relaxed.

Abdullah said that on a visit to Charikar in Padrwan Province north of Kabul Sunday, he met frustrated supporters who wanted to demonstrate their discontent. He said he urged them to be calm but added that he couldn't predict what will happen.

"I will do my utmost to avoid violence. I know how difficult it is to reverse things once they go in that direction," Abdullah said. "But I can't guarantee anything and everything that will happen in this country. Nobody can."


I really and truly hesitate to raise the specter of the "America First" committee (pre-WWII), given what their slogan was used for in the last election....but one of the principal stances of that pre-war group was to "Leave Europe to the Europeans".

Perhaps it's time for us to leave Afghanistan to the Afghans and let them decide who should rule.


 

27 comments (Latest Comment: 09/16/2009 05:44:57 by livingonli)
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